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Neighborhood · Ranked #11,930 of 84,120 nationally

Carrousel District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Mansfield

Tract 39139003100 · Richland County, OH · pop 2,582 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Carrousel District in Mansfield is where census tract 39139003100 sits, home to 2,582 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 6.6/10. On the national scale it ranks #10,027 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 57% of renter households, a severe level, and 35% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $790 a month while the average household earns $25,431 a year, roughly 37% of income at the averages. About 76% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44% Stable renters 33% Owners 23%
Tract context
Occupied units892
Renter share76.2%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate42.2%
Median income$25,431

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Carrousel District
Very Low
Within parent city
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 18 tracts In Mansfield
High
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 30 tracts In Richland County
High
Within state
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#93 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mansfield and the region

Centroid at 40.7628, -82.5107 · click any tract to drill in

Why Carrousel District scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mansfield
3.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.0
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
42.2% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$790 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mansfield
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mansfield
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mansfield
7.4

How Carrousel District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Carrousel District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.06.0This tracttract 003100Mansfield: 2.72.7Mansfieldparent cityCounty: 4.24.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 656Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 9.83%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.0%Peak (2015)
  • 52Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2005 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 391390031002005: 66 filings (10.15/100 renter HHs)2006: 56 filings (8.61/100 renter HHs)2009: 51 filings (7.84/100 renter HHs)2010: 56 filings (9.03/100 renter HHs)2011: 47 filings (7.91/100 renter HHs)2012: 64 filings (10.77/100 renter HHs)2013: 51 filings (8.59/100 renter HHs)2014: 59 filings (9.93/100 renter HHs)2015: 83 filings (13.97/100 renter HHs)2016: 71 filings (12.28/100 renter HHs)2017: 52 filings (9.00/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 21% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Carrousel District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Carrousel District

The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Mansfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Richland County average of 5.4 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 656 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 9.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 14.0% of renter households in 2015.

In CDC survey modeling, about 27.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 23.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 39139003100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39139003100?

Census tract 39139003100 in the Carrousel District neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39139003100?

Median gross rent is $790/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39139003100?

42.2% of residents in tract 39139003100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,582.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39139003100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 93th, minority 72th, housing 92th.
Q5

Is tract 39139003100 considered part of Carrousel District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39139003100 fall within Carrousel District (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39139003100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 656 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 39139003100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.83% of renter households, peaking at 14.0% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39139003100 struggle to pay rent?

About 27.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 23.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39139003100 compare to Mansfield overall?

Tract 39139003100 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Mansfield at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mansfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mansfield

Top eight tracts in Mansfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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