Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally

Carrousel District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mansfield

Tract 39139000600 · Richland County, OH · pop 3,260 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

39139000600 is a census tract in the Carrousel District area of Mansfield, OH. It scores 5.6/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,260 residents. Severe burden reaches 37%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 33% Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units1,134
Renter share67.9%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate48.6%
Median income$27,386

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Carrousel District
Very High
Within parent city
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 18 tracts In Mansfield
Very High
Within county
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 30 tracts In Richland County
High
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#466 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mansfield and the region

Centroid at 40.7636, -82.5357 · click any tract to drill in

Why Carrousel District scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mansfield
3.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.0
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
48.6% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$936 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mansfield
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mansfield
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mansfield
7.4

How Carrousel District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Carrousel District risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.6This tracttract 0006004.2Mansfieldparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 850Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 11.98%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.2%Peak (2014)
  • 64Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2005 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39139000600
Filings dropped 24% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Carrousel District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Carrousel District

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 49%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Annualized rent equals 41% of average household income of $27,386, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.1/10. 51% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Richland County average of 39.0%.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 25.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. This is renter territory: 68% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Housing insecurity runs 27.8% against 14.2% nationally.

On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10. It sits 1.4 points above the Richland County average of 4.2. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 850 filings here across 11 tracked years.

Average gross rent is $936, 15% above the Mansfield average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 39139000600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39139000600?

Census tract 39139000600 in the Carrousel District neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39139000600?

Median gross rent is $936/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39139000600?

48.6% of residents in tract 39139000600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,260.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39139000600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 57th, minority 41th, housing 76th.
Q5

Is tract 39139000600 considered part of Carrousel District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39139000600 fall within Carrousel District (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39139000600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 850 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 39139000600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.98% of renter households, peaking at 16.2% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39139000600 struggle to pay rent?

About 27.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 25.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39139000600 compare to Mansfield overall?

Tract 39139000600 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Mansfield at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mansfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mansfield

Top eight tracts in Mansfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related