Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally
Carrousel District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mansfield
Tract 39139000700 · Richland County, OH · pop 2,890 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
39139000700 is a census tract in the Carrousel District area of Mansfield, OH. It scores 5.6/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,890 residents. Against Richland County at 39.0%, roughly two in three of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units1,307
Renter share52.8%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate46.8%
Median income$26,659
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
88
th percentile
High
Within county
79
th percentile
High
Within state
85
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mansfield and the region
Centroid at 40.7722, -82.5303 · click any tract to drill in
Why Carrousel District scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mansfield
3.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.0
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
46.8% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$694 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mansfield
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mansfield
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mansfield
7.4
How Carrousel District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 68
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 81%Socioeconomic
- 72%Household composition
- 82%Racial/ethnic minority
- 24%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 605Total filings over 11 yrs
- 8.09%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.9%Peak (2010)
- 57Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Carrousel District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 25.6%Housing insecurity
- 22.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 35.3%Food insecurity
- 38.5%SNAP enrollment
- 18.2%Transit barriers
- 13.2%No health insurance
- 23.3%Frequent mental distress
- 39.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Carrousel District
What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 47%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. SNAP participation runs 38.5% against 15.2% nationally.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.1/10. Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 22.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Against the Richland County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 605 filings here across 11 tracked years. At $694 a month, rents run 15% under what the rest of Mansfield commands. Filings peaked in 2010 at 10.9% of renter households.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 39139000700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39139000700?
Census tract 39139000700 in the Carrousel District neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39139000700?
Median gross rent is $694/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39139000700?
46.8% of residents in tract 39139000700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,890.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39139000700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 72th, minority 82th, housing 24th.
Q5
Is tract 39139000700 considered part of Carrousel District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39139000700 fall within Carrousel District (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39139000700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 605 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 39139000700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.09% of renter households, peaking at 10.9% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39139000700 struggle to pay rent?
About 25.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39139000700 compare to Mansfield overall?
Tract 39139000700 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Mansfield at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mansfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mansfield
Top eight tracts in Mansfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Mansfield Central Park District
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Carrousel District
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Mansfield Central Park District
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Carrousel District
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
39139000800
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
39139001000
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
39139001700
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
39139001600
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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