3 census tracts · pop 8,732 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.6/10
· range 5.6–5.6
Carrousel District is a 3-tract neighborhood of Mansfield, OH and houses 8,732 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.6/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 58% against 28.5% citywide, putting Carrousel District 29.9% over its own city.
What pushes the score up most is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 46%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 31% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.
23.7% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10. Set annual rent against average household income of $26,567 and the ratio lands at 37%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
This is a renter market: 65% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 26.8% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.9/10.
Filings are well documented here: 2,111 across 3 observed tracts. Filing activity peaked in 2015 at 16.2% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 9.8% in 2017 against a 16.2% peak.
Social vulnerability runs high at 8.4/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Its 3 tracts score within 0 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. Average gross rent runs $813, close to the Mansfield average.
The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Carrousel District vs MansfieldHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority64%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport64%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Carrousel District
Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
2,111Total filings (sum)
10.05%Avg annual filing rate
16.2%Peak year (2015)
9.80%Latest filed (2017)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Carrousel District
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
26.9%Housing insecurity
23.7%Utility shutoff threat
37.6%Food insecurity
42.0%SNAP enrollment
14.4%No health insurance
41.8%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Carrousel District
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Carrousel District?
Carrousel District scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Carrousel District compare to Mansfield overall?
Carrousel District scores 1.4 points higher than Mansfield overall (4.2/10). Renters spend 58% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $813 vs $814.
Q3
What is the average rent in Carrousel District?
Average gross rent in Carrousel District is $813/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Carrousel District residents are renters?
65% of Carrousel District households are renter-occupied (vs 50% in Mansfield). The neighborhood has 8,732 residents.
Q5
Is Carrousel District a high social-vulnerability area?
Carrousel District sits in the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Carrousel District have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Carrousel District is census tract 39139000600 (score 5.6/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.6 to 5.6, a spread of 0 points.
Q7
How safe is Carrousel District for landlords?
Carrousel District carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.6/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Mansfield as a whole (4.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Carrousel District?
Carrousel District has 8,819 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (52.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (29.5%), Other / Multiracial (16%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
