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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,456 of 84,120 nationally

Grant Eviction Risk: Elevated , Salem

Tract 41047000900 · Marion County, OR · pop 5,725 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Eviction risk in the Grant area of Salem centers on tract 41047000900, which scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 5,725 residents. That is riskier than about 86% of US census tracts.

46% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,027 monthly, set against $54,082 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 52% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 28% Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units2,406
Renter share51.7%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate19.5%
Median income$54,082

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Grant
Elevated
Within parent city
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#8 of 40 tracts In Salem
High
Within county
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#7 of 65 tracts In Marion County
Very High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#83 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Salem and the region

Centroid at 44.9329, -123.0185 · click any tract to drill in

Why Grant scores 6.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Salem
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
19.5% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$1,027 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Salem
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Salem
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Salem
7.0

How Grant compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Grant risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.56.5This tracttract 000900Salem: 7.37.3Salemparent cityCounty: 5.05.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.74.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 68

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,571Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 7.40%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.6%Peak (2000)
  • 80Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 410470009002000: 136 filings (10.59/100 renter HHs)2001: 114 filings (8.88/100 renter HHs)2002: 116 filings (9.03/100 renter HHs)2003: 113 filings (8.80/100 renter HHs)2004: 130 filings (10.12/100 renter HHs)2005: 115 filings (8.11/100 renter HHs)2006: 116 filings (8.18/100 renter HHs)2007: 77 filings (5.43/100 renter HHs)2008: 80 filings (5.64/100 renter HHs)2009: 85 filings (5.99/100 renter HHs)2010: 70 filings (5.34/100 renter HHs)2011: 67 filings (5.29/100 renter HHs)2012: 91 filings (7.18/100 renter HHs)2013: 92 filings (7.26/100 renter HHs)2014: 89 filings (7.02/100 renter HHs)2016: 80 filings (5.58/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 41% over the past 16 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Grant. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Grant

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Salem eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Marion County average of 6.2 and above the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,571 eviction filings here over 16 tracked years, with about 7.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 10.6% of renter households in 2000.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 68th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 41047000900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41047000900?

Census tract 41047000900 in the Grant neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41047000900?

Median gross rent is $1,027/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41047000900?

19.5% of residents in tract 41047000900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,725.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41047000900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 26th, minority 52th, housing 79th.
Q5

Is tract 41047000900 considered part of Grant?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41047000900 fall within Grant (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41047000900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,571 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41047000900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.40% of renter households, peaking at 10.6% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 41047000900 compare to Salem overall?

Tract 41047000900 scores 6.5/10, lower than the parent city of Salem at 7.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Salem eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Salem

Top eight tracts in Salem ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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