Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,043 of 84,120 nationally

Grant Eviction Risk: Elevated , Salem

Tract 41047000900 · Marion County, OR · pop 5,725 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

41047000900 is a census tract in the Grant area of Salem, OR. It scores 7.8/10 for landlords. Population here is 5,725. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1.7/10.

Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 28% Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units2,406
Renter share51.7%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate19.5%
Median income$54,082

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Grant
Elevated
Within parent city
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 40 tracts In Salem
High
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 65 tracts In Marion County
Very High
Within state
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#111 of 994 tracts In Oregon
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Salem and the region

Centroid at 44.9329, -123.0185 · click any tract to drill in

Why Grant scores 7.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Salem
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
19.5% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$1,027 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Salem
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Salem
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Salem
7.0

How Grant compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Grant risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.8This tracttract 0009006.4Salemparent city6.0Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 68

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,571Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 7.40%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.6%Peak (2000)
  • 80Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 41047000900
Filings dropped 41% over the past 16 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Grant. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Grant

It sits 1.8 points above the Marion County average of 6.0. At $1,027 a month, rents run 27% under what the rest of Salem commands. The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10. The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

On the high side, state political climate reads 7.2/10. Court records carry 1,571 eviction filings across 16 observed years. The worst year on record was 2000, when 10.6% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 7.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 89% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.1/10. Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 41047000900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41047000900?

Census tract 41047000900 in the Grant neighborhood scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41047000900?

Median gross rent is $1,027/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41047000900?

19.5% of residents in tract 41047000900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,725.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41047000900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 26th, minority 52th, housing 79th.
Q5

Is tract 41047000900 considered part of Grant?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41047000900 fall within Grant (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41047000900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,571 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41047000900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.40% of renter households, peaking at 10.6% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 41047000900 compare to Salem overall?

Tract 41047000900 scores 7.8/10, higher than the parent city of Salem at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Salem eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Salem

Top eight tracts in Salem ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related