Within parent city
77
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #9,927 of 84,120 nationally
Salem Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 41047001000 · Marion County, OR · pop 4,534
41047001000 is a census tract in Salem, OR. It scores 7.6/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,534. 25% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
7.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units1,797
Renter share55.4%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate19.5%
Median income$58,528
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
86
th percentile
High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
National
88
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Salem and the region
Centroid at 44.9071, -123.0010 · click any tract to drill in
Why Salem scores 7.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Salem
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
19.5% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$1,169 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Salem
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Salem
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Salem
7.0
How Salem compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 95
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 84%Socioeconomic
- 87%Household composition
- 48%Racial/ethnic minority
- 99%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,360Total filings over 16 yrs
- 10.00%Avg annual filing rate
- 17.2%Peak (2000)
- 52Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 63% over the past 16 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Salem
It sits 1.6 points above the Marion County average of 6.0. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 7.5/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.6/10.
The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Average gross rent is $1,169, 17% below the Salem average.
On the high side, state political climate reads 7.2/10. Court records carry 1,360 eviction filings across 16 observed years. Filings peaked in 2000 at 17.2% of renter households.
In a typical year about 10.0% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #9,927 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 9.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 41047001000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41047001000?
Census tract 41047001000 in Salem scores 7.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41047001000?
Median gross rent is $1,169/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41047001000?
19.5% of residents in tract 41047001000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,534.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41047001000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 87th, minority 48th, housing 99th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41047001000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,360 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41047001000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.00% of renter households, peaking at 17.2% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 41047001000 compare to Salem overall?
Tract 41047001000 scores 7.6/10, higher than the parent city of Salem at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Salem eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Salem
Top eight tracts in Salem ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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