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Neighborhood · Ranked #8,912 of 84,120 nationally

South Salem Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 41047001200 · Marion County, OR · pop 3,833 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Tract 41047001200 covers the South Salem area of Salem in Oregon. Home to 3,833 residents, it scores 6.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 88% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 52% of renter households, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,051 a month against an average household income of $63,460 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 22% Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,791
Renter share46.2%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate19.2%
Median income$63,460

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In South Salem
Very High
Within parent city
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#12 of 40 tracts In Salem
Elevated
Within county
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 65 tracts In Marion County
High
Within state
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#109 of 994 tracts In Oregon
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Salem and the region

Centroid at 44.9224, -123.0378 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Salem scores 6.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Salem
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
19.2% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,051 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Salem
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Salem
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Salem
7.0

How South Salem compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Salem risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.36.3This tracttract 001200Salem: 7.37.3Salemparent cityCounty: 5.05.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.74.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 55

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 450Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 3.33%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.6%Peak (2006)
  • 32Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 410470012002000: 27 filings (3.28/100 renter HHs)2001: 33 filings (4.00/100 renter HHs)2002: 22 filings (2.67/100 renter HHs)2003: 27 filings (3.28/100 renter HHs)2004: 28 filings (3.40/100 renter HHs)2005: 28 filings (3.28/100 renter HHs)2006: 48 filings (5.62/100 renter HHs)2007: 31 filings (3.63/100 renter HHs)2008: 25 filings (2.93/100 renter HHs)2009: 18 filings (2.11/100 renter HHs)2010: 17 filings (2.07/100 renter HHs)2011: 26 filings (2.90/100 renter HHs)2012: 40 filings (4.46/100 renter HHs)2013: 25 filings (2.79/100 renter HHs)2014: 23 filings (2.56/100 renter HHs)2016: 32 filings (4.32/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 19% over the past 16 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Salem. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Salem

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Salem eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Marion County average of 6.2 and above the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 450 eviction filings here over 16 tracked years, with about 3.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.6% of renter households in 2006.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 41047001200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41047001200?

Census tract 41047001200 in the South Salem neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41047001200?

Median gross rent is $1,051/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41047001200?

19.2% of residents in tract 41047001200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,833.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41047001200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 42th, household 84th, minority 43th, housing 48th.
Q5

Is tract 41047001200 considered part of South Salem?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41047001200 fall within South Salem (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41047001200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 450 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41047001200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.33% of renter households, peaking at 5.6% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 41047001200 compare to Salem overall?

Tract 41047001200 scores 6.3/10, lower than the parent city of Salem at 7.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Salem eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Salem

Top eight tracts in Salem ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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