Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #10,727 of 84,120 nationally
South Salem Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 41047001200 · Marion County, OR · pop 3,833 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Tract 41047001200 sits in the South Salem area of Salem eviction risk, OR, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.4/10. Severe burden reaches 30%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
7.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,791
Renter share46.2%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate19.2%
Median income$63,460
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
72
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
83
th percentile
High
Within state
80
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Salem and the region
Centroid at 44.9224, -123.0378 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Salem scores 7.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Salem
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
19.2% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,051 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Salem
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Salem
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Salem
7.0
How South Salem compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 55
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 42%Socioeconomic
- 84%Household composition
- 43%Racial/ethnic minority
- 48%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 450Total filings over 16 yrs
- 3.33%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.6%Peak (2006)
- 32Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 19% over the past 16 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within South Salem. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Salem
Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1.8/10. At $1,051 a month, rents run 25% under what the rest of Salem commands.
Against the Marion County average of 6.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10.
The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the high side, state political climate reads 7.2/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 450 filings here across 16 tracked years.
The worst year on record was 2006, when 5.6% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 3.3% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 87th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6/10. Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. 52% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 41047001200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41047001200?
Census tract 41047001200 in the South Salem neighborhood scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41047001200?
Median gross rent is $1,051/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41047001200?
19.2% of residents in tract 41047001200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,833.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41047001200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 42th, household 84th, minority 43th, housing 48th.
Q5
Is tract 41047001200 considered part of South Salem?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41047001200 fall within South Salem (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41047001200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 450 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41047001200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.33% of renter households, peaking at 5.6% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 41047001200 compare to Salem overall?
Tract 41047001200 scores 7.4/10, higher than the parent city of Salem at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Salem eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Salem
Top eight tracts in Salem ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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