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Census Tract · Ranked #8,138 of 84,120 nationally

Salem Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 41047001000 · Marion County, OR · pop 4,534

Salem anchors census tract 41047001000, which lands at 6.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 88% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 48% of renter households, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,169 a month while the average household earns $58,528 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 55% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 29% Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units1,797
Renter share55.4%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate19.5%
Median income$58,528

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 40 tracts In Salem
Elevated
Within county
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 65 tracts In Marion County
High
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#93 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Very High
National
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#8,138 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Salem and the region

Centroid at 44.9071, -123.0010 · click any tract to drill in

Why Salem scores 6.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Salem
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
19.5% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$1,169 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Salem
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Salem
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Salem
7.0

How Salem compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Salem risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.46.4This tracttract 001000Salem: 7.37.3Salemparent cityCounty: 5.05.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.74.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,360Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 10.00%Avg annual filing rate
  • 17.2%Peak (2000)
  • 52Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 410470010002000: 142 filings (17.15/100 renter HHs)2001: 103 filings (12.44/100 renter HHs)2002: 108 filings (13.04/100 renter HHs)2003: 90 filings (10.87/100 renter HHs)2004: 111 filings (13.41/100 renter HHs)2005: 98 filings (10.59/100 renter HHs)2006: 87 filings (9.41/100 renter HHs)2007: 67 filings (7.24/100 renter HHs)2008: 69 filings (7.46/100 renter HHs)2009: 72 filings (7.78/100 renter HHs)2010: 50 filings (5.92/100 renter HHs)2011: 76 filings (9.64/100 renter HHs)2012: 71 filings (9.01/100 renter HHs)2013: 89 filings (11.29/100 renter HHs)2014: 75 filings (9.52/100 renter HHs)2016: 52 filings (5.18/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 63% over the past 16 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Salem

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Salem eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Marion County average of 6.2 and above the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,360 eviction filings here over 16 tracked years, with about 10.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 17.2% of renter households in 2000.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 41047001000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41047001000?

Census tract 41047001000 in Salem scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41047001000?

Median gross rent is $1,169/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41047001000?

19.5% of residents in tract 41047001000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,534.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41047001000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 87th, minority 48th, housing 99th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41047001000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,360 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41047001000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.00% of renter households, peaking at 17.2% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 41047001000 compare to Salem overall?

Tract 41047001000 scores 6.4/10, lower than the parent city of Salem at 7.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Salem eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Salem

Top eight tracts in Salem ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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