Within neighborhood
20
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Central City Eviction Risk: Moderate , Gresham
Tract 41051010407 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 5,893 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
Census tract 41051010407 covers part of the Central City area of Gresham, OR, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,893 residents. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.4/10.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units1,976
Renter share39.8%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate5.6%
Median income$98,056
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
19
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
5
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
32
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Gresham and the region
Centroid at 45.5020, -122.3900 · click any tract to drill in
Why Central City scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Gresham
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
5.6% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,691 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gresham
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gresham
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gresham
7.5
How Central City compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 69
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 45%Socioeconomic
- 83%Household composition
- 49%Racial/ethnic minority
- 80%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,182Total filings over 16 yrs
- 12.50%Avg annual filing rate
- 20.7%Peak (2004)
- 47Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 48% over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 197Total filings 2020-21
- 2.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.67×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Central City. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Central City
Severe burden reaches 24%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. It sits 2.0 points below the Multnomah County average of 7.4.
Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.1/10. 57% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Multnomah County average of 49.7%.
On the high side, local political climate reads 7.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 1,182 evictions over 16 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2004 at 20.7% of renter households.
In a typical year about 12.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 41051010407
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051010407?
Census tract 41051010407 in the Central City neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41051010407?
Median gross rent is $1,691/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41051010407?
5.6% of residents in tract 41051010407 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,893.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41051010407?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 83th, minority 49th, housing 80th.
Q5
Is tract 41051010407 considered part of Central City?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051010407 fall within Central City (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41051010407?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,182 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41051010407 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.50% of renter households, peaking at 20.7% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 41051010407 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.67× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 41051010407 compare to Gresham overall?
Tract 41051010407 scores 5.4/10, lower than the parent city of Gresham at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gresham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Gresham
Top eight tracts in Gresham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Central City
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Central City
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Rockwood
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Rockwood
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Centennial
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
North Central
7.6
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
North Gresham
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Central City
7.5
/ 10 · High
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