Within neighborhood
40
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #13,812 of 84,120 nationally
Central City Eviction Risk: Elevated , Gresham
Tract 41051010405 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 5,872 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Tract 41051010405 sits in the Central City area of Gresham eviction risk, OR, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.8/10. It is home to 5,872 residents. 65% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Multnomah County average of 49.7%.
Risk score
6.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units2,407
Renter share51.2%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate11.4%
Median income$70,174
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
43
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
32
th percentile
Low
Within state
67
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Gresham and the region
Centroid at 45.5130, -122.4228 · click any tract to drill in
Why Central City scores 6.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Gresham
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
11.4% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,640 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gresham
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gresham
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gresham
7.5
How Central City compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 67
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 51%Socioeconomic
- 50%Household composition
- 57%Racial/ethnic minority
- 87%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,232Total filings over 16 yrs
- 6.84%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.9%Peak (2012)
- 74Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 27% over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 592Total filings 2020-21
- 7.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.72×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Central City. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Central City
The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. What pushes it up most is regional political climate at 8.1/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 7.5/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,232 filings here across 16 tracked years.
Against the Multnomah County average of 7.4, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.6 points. The worst year on record was 2012, when 8.9% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 6.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 84% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.1/10.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,640, close to the Gresham average. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $70,174.
51% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 41051010405
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051010405?
Census tract 41051010405 in the Central City neighborhood scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41051010405?
Median gross rent is $1,640/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41051010405?
11.4% of residents in tract 41051010405 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,872.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41051010405?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 50th, minority 57th, housing 87th.
Q5
Is tract 41051010405 considered part of Central City?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051010405 fall within Central City (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41051010405?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,232 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41051010405 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.84% of renter households, peaking at 8.9% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 41051010405 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.72× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 41051010405 compare to Gresham overall?
Tract 41051010405 scores 6.8/10, higher than the parent city of Gresham at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gresham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Gresham
Top eight tracts in Gresham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Central City
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Rockwood
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Rockwood
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Centennial
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Central City
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
North Central
7.6
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
North Gresham
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Central City
7.5
/ 10 · High
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