Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally
Argay Terrace Eviction Risk: Moderate , Portland
Tract 41051009502 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 3,471 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
The Argay Terrace area of Portland is where census tract 41051009502 sits, home to 3,471 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 7.1/10. It lands near the 95th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
66% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,704 monthly, set against $65,855 in average yearly household income, roughly 31% of income at the averages. About 39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,485
Renter share38.6%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate10.7%
Median income$65,855
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
72
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
79
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Portland and the region
Centroid at 45.5508, -122.5281 · click any tract to drill in
Why Argay Terrace scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
10.7% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,704 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5
How Argay Terrace compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 69
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 52%Socioeconomic
- 80%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 70%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2,019Total filings over 16 yrs
- 16.94%Avg annual filing rate
- 23.6%Peak (2000)
- 150Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 365Total filings 2020-21
- 4.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.16×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Argay Terrace
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Portland eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Multnomah County average of 6.9 and above the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.16x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2,019 eviction filings here over 16 tracked years, with about 16.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 23.6% of renter households in 2000.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 41051009502
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051009502?
Census tract 41051009502 in the Argay Terrace neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41051009502?
Median gross rent is $1,704/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41051009502?
10.7% of residents in tract 41051009502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,471.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41051009502?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 80th, minority 60th, housing 70th.
Q5
Is tract 41051009502 considered part of Argay Terrace?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051009502 fall within Argay Terrace (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41051009502?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,019 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41051009502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.94% of renter households, peaking at 23.6% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 41051009502 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.16× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 41051009502 compare to Portland overall?
Tract 41051009502 scores 5.8/10, lower than the parent city of Portland at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Portland
Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Gateway
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
7.6
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
University District
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Powellhurst
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
University District
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Powellhurst
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
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