Tract 41051009502 ·
Multnomah County, OR · pop 3,471 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
41051009502 is a census tract in the Argay Terrace area of Portland, OR. It scores 8.1/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,471. Cost burden runs roughly two in three here against 49.7% across Multnomah County.
Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%Stable renters 13%Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,485
Renter share38.6%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate10.7%
Median income$65,855
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Argay Terrace
Moderate
Within parent city
68th percentile
#54 of 168 tracts In Portland
Elevated
Within county
75th percentile
#50 of 197 tracts In Multnomah County
High
Within state
93th percentile
#73 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Portland and the region
Centroid at 45.5508, -122.5281 · click any tract to drill in
Why Argay Terrace scores 8.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
10.7% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,704 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5
How Argay Terrace compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 69
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
52%Socioeconomic
80%Household composition
60%Racial/ethnic minority
70%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
2,019Total filings over 16 yrs
16.94%Avg annual filing rate
23.6%Peak (2000)
150Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year2000 to 2016
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
365Total filings 2020-21
4.7Avg monthly (observed)
4.1Pre-pandemic baseline
1.16×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Argay Terrace
31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10.
The filing record is not thin: 2,019 evictions over 16 years of observation. It sits 0.7 points above the Multnomah County average of 7.4.
The worst year on record was 2000, when 23.6% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 16.9% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.2/10.
Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 2.0 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,704, close to the Portland average.
Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $65,855.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 41051009502
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051009502?
Census tract 41051009502 in the Argay Terrace neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41051009502?
Median gross rent is $1,704/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41051009502?
10.7% of residents in tract 41051009502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,471.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41051009502?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 80th, minority 60th, housing 70th.
Q5
Is tract 41051009502 considered part of Argay Terrace?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051009502 fall within Argay Terrace (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41051009502?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,019 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41051009502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.94% of renter households, peaking at 23.6% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 41051009502 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.16× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 41051009502 compare to Portland overall?
Tract 41051009502 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Portland at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Portland
Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.