Within neighborhood
80
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #6,330 of 84,120 nationally
Gateway Eviction Risk: High , Portland
Tract 41051007900 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 4,303 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
With a score of 8.3/10, tract 41051007900 in the Gateway area of Portland, OR reads high for landlord eviction risk. 31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
8.3
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,897
Renter share48.6%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate12.2%
Median income$64,514
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
75
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
77
th percentile
High
Within state
94
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Portland and the region
Centroid at 45.5534, -122.5481 · click any tract to drill in
Why Gateway scores 8.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
12.2% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,284 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5
How Gateway compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 86
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 79%Socioeconomic
- 64%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 92%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 3%Grade B
- 28%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 918Total filings over 16 yrs
- 6.48%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.8%Peak (2006)
- 76Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 282Total filings 2020-21
- 3.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.88×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Gateway. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Gateway
The dominant input is local political climate at 9/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.4/10.
At $1,284 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of Portland commands. It sits 0.9 points above the Multnomah County average of 7.4. Court records carry 918 eviction filings across 16 observed years.
54% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Multnomah County average of 49.7%. Filings peaked in 2006 at 10.8% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 6.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 92% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 8.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 41051007900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051007900?
Census tract 41051007900 in the Gateway neighborhood scores 8.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41051007900?
Median gross rent is $1,284/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41051007900?
12.2% of residents in tract 41051007900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,303.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41051007900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 64th, minority 64th, housing 92th.
Q5
Is tract 41051007900 considered part of Gateway?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051007900 fall within Gateway (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41051007900?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 918 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41051007900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.48% of renter households, peaking at 10.8% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 41051007900 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.88× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 41051007900 compare to Portland overall?
Tract 41051007900 scores 8.3/10, higher than the parent city of Portland at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 41051007900 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Portland
Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Chinatown
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
University District
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Whitwood Court
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Wilkes
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Riverview
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Roseway
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
University District
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
University District
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
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