Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #2,438 of 84,120 nationally
Gateway Eviction Risk: Elevated , Portland
Tract 41051008100 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 7,983 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Here is how census tract 41051008100, in the Gateway neighborhood of Portland eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 7.7/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 7,983. That puts it among the highest-scoring tracts in the entire country, the top 1% nationally for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 71% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 38% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,369 monthly, set against $43,462 in average yearly household income, roughly 38% of income at the averages. About 62% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units3,336
Renter share62.3%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate33.1%
Median income$43,462
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
99
th percentile
Very High
Within county
100
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Portland and the region
Centroid at 45.5280, -122.5525 · click any tract to drill in
Why Gateway scores 7.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
33.1% poverty · this tract
8.3
Supply constraint
$1,369 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5
How Gateway compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 95
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 83%Household composition
- 63%Racial/ethnic minority
- 95%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 17%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,409Total filings over 16 yrs
- 5.56%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.1%Peak (2013)
- 61Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 21% over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 1,021Total filings 2020-21
- 13.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 7.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.88×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Gateway. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Gateway
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Portland eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Multnomah County average of 6.9 and above the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.88x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 41051008100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051008100?
Census tract 41051008100 in the Gateway neighborhood scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41051008100?
Median gross rent is $1,369/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41051008100?
33.1% of residents in tract 41051008100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,983.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41051008100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 83th, minority 63th, housing 95th.
Q5
Is tract 41051008100 considered part of Gateway?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051008100 fall within Gateway (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41051008100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,409 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41051008100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.56% of renter households, peaking at 5.1% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 41051008100 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.88× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 41051008100 compare to Portland overall?
Tract 41051008100 scores 7.8/10, lower than the parent city of Portland at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 41051008100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Portland
Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Chinatown
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
7.6
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Powellhurst
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
University District
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Powellhurst
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
University District
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Portsmouth
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
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