Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally
Oberlin Gardens Eviction Risk: Elevated , Steelton
Tract 42043023300 · Dauphin County, PA · pop 4,660 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Census tract 42043023300 covers part of the Oberlin Gardens area of Steelton, PA, and scores 6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,660. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.5/10.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 39%
Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units1,770
Renter share58.4%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate24.1%
Median income$55,100
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
79
th percentile
High
Within state
82
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Steelton and the region
Centroid at 40.2370, -76.8388 · click any tract to drill in
Why Oberlin Gardens scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Steelton
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
24.1% poverty · this tract
6.0
Supply constraint
$1,305 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Steelton
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Steelton
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Steelton
6.5
How Oberlin Gardens compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 64%Socioeconomic
- 84%Household composition
- 77%Racial/ethnic minority
- 63%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 8%Grade C
- 65%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 565Total filings over 6 yrs
- 16.49%Avg annual filing rate
- 22.1%Peak (2005)
- 95Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 17% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Oberlin Gardens. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Oberlin Gardens
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.3/10. Against the Dauphin County average of 4.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points.
The poverty rate is 24%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. The severe-burden share is 14%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Cost burden runs 33% here against 39.0% across Dauphin County. Court records carry 565 eviction filings across 6 observed years. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 3.1/10.
Filings peaked in 2005 at 22.1% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 16.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 78% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 42043023300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42043023300?
Census tract 42043023300 in the Oberlin Gardens neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42043023300?
Median gross rent is $1,305/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42043023300?
24.1% of residents in tract 42043023300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,660.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42043023300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 84th, minority 77th, housing 63th.
Q5
Is tract 42043023300 considered part of Oberlin Gardens?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42043023300 fall within Oberlin Gardens (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42043023300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 565 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 42043023300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.49% of renter households, peaking at 22.1% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42043023300 compare to Steelton overall?
Tract 42043023300 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Steelton at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Steelton; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42043023300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 65% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Steelton
Top eight tracts in Steelton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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