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Neighborhood · Steelton, PA

Oberlin Gardens Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 11,574 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.8/10 · range 3.6–6

Oberlin Gardens spans 3 census tracts of Steelton, PA and houses 11,574 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4.8/10, in the Moderate tier. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3.6 to 6, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk.

The severe-burden share is 21%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Cost burden runs 35% against 26.3% citywide, putting Oberlin Gardens 8.4% over its own city. The main counterweight is supply constraint, at 2.8/10.

Average gross rent is $1,079, 16% below the Steelton average of $1,289. Court records carry 764 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. The poverty rate is 17%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Filing activity peaked in 2006 at 22.1% of renter households. Judgments average 8.0% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $59,295. 41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2.4 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Oberlin Gardens vs Steelton How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
34.7% +32%
Steelton: 26.3%
Average gross rent
$1,079 -16%
Steelton: $1,289
Average HH income
$59,295 +6%
Steelton: $55,963
Poverty rate
17.1% -23%
Steelton: 22.3%
Renter share
41.1% -21%
Steelton: 51.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Oberlin Gardens and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3.6–6

Why Oberlin Gardens scores 4.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Rent control risk
35% of income on rent · Range 2.3–4.8 across tracts
3.6
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.1–3.6 across tracts
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
41% renter households · Range 3.9–9.3 across tracts
6.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.8–6.5 across tracts
4.8
Economic stress
17.1% below poverty line · Range 2.8–6.0 across tracts
4.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.1–4.5 across tracts
2.8
Risk score comparison

Oberlin Gardens vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Oberlin Gardens score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.8Oberlin GardensNeighborhood4.6Parent cityhost city4.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Oberlin Gardens?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2.4 points from 3.6 to 6. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Oberlin Gardens

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
42043023300 6 4,660 33% $1,305
42043023400 5.5 1,583 32% $840
42043022902 3.6 5,331 37% $952
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 59

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 58%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 54%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 64%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 53%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Oberlin Gardens

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 764Total filings (sum)
  • 15.46%Avg annual filing rate
  • 22.1%Peak year (2006)
  • 16.32%Latest filed (2006)
Frequently asked

About Oberlin Gardens

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Oberlin Gardens?

Oberlin Gardens scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Oberlin Gardens compare to Steelton overall?

Oberlin Gardens scores 0.2 points higher than Steelton overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 35% of income on rent vs 26% citywide. Average rent: $1,079 vs $1,289.
Q3

What is the average rent in Oberlin Gardens?

Average gross rent in Oberlin Gardens is $1,079/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Oberlin Gardens residents are renters?

41% of Oberlin Gardens households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Steelton). The neighborhood has 11,574 residents.
Q5

Is Oberlin Gardens a high social-vulnerability area?

Oberlin Gardens sits in the 59th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Oberlin Gardens have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Oberlin Gardens is census tract 42043023300 (score 6/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.6 to 6, a spread of 2.4 points.
Q7

How safe is Oberlin Gardens for landlords?

Oberlin Gardens carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.8/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Steelton as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Oberlin Gardens?

Oberlin Gardens has 11,718 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (47.1%), Hispanic / Latino (23.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (23.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Oberlin Gardens

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