Eviction Risk in Oberlin Gardens , Steelton
Tract 42043023400 · Dauphin County, PA · pop 1,583 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
Census tract 42043023400 sits in the Oberlin Gardens neighborhood of Steelton, Pennsylvania. It has a population of 1,583 and an eviction-risk score of 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). 32% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 24% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $840/month against a median household income of $59,554 — roughly 17% rent-to-income at the medians.
Racial & ethnic composition
White-Black Neighborhood — 1,592 residents. Source: ACS 5-year 2023 (Table B03002, tract level).
- Hispanic / Latino 12.8%
- White (non-Hispanic) 54%
- Black (non-Hispanic) 30%
- Asian (non-Hispanic) 0.1%
- Other / Multiracial 3.1%
How the 5.9/10 score is composed
| Signal | Score | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Filing rate (county) | 9.5 | Eviction Lab via counties |
| State political climate | 3.4 | states.state_political_baseline |
| Regional political climate | 5.4 | 2024 county presidential margin |
| Local political climate | 5.9 | Steelton (inherited) |
| Rent control risk | 4.8 | Steelton (inherited) |
| Eviction process difficulty | 3.1 | state law |
| Tenant organizing strength | 9.3 | Steelton (inherited) |
| Housing court bias | 6.5 | Steelton (inherited) |
| Economic stress (tract) | 4.2 | this tract poverty rate |
| Supply constraint (tract) | 1.1 | tract rent vs county FMR |
SVI percentile: 73
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 62%Socioeconomic
- 90%Household composition
- 65%Racial/ethnic minority
- 57%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 199Total filings over 6 yrs
- 12.45%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.6%Peak (2006)
- 51Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Oberlin Gardens. Closest by composite score.
Dominant grade: D — hazardous — formally redlined; mortgage applications routinely denied
Approximately 16% of this tract's area was graded by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in Harrisburg. Source: Mapping Inequality (Nelson, Winling, Marciano, Connolly et al., University of Richmond) — CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
- 0.0%A (Best)
- 0.0%B (Desirable)
- 0.0%C (Declining)
- 15.6%D (Redlined)
Redlining is correlated with present-day eviction-filing rates, lower home-ownership, and greater rent burden — see Aaronson, Hartley & Mazumder (FRB Chicago, 2021). The shading above reflects 90-year-old appraisals; it is historical context, not a current credit signal.
About tract 42043023400
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42043023400?
Census tract 42043023400 in the Oberlin Gardens neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The composite blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent burden + poverty signals.
What is the median rent in tract 42043023400?
Median gross rent is $840/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
What is the poverty rate in tract 42043023400?
16.8% of residents in tract 42043023400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,583.
How socially vulnerable is tract 42043023400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 90th, minority 65th, housing 57th.
Is tract 42043023400 considered part of Oberlin Gardens?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42043023400 fall within Oberlin Gardens (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42043023400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 199 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 42043023400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.45% of renter households, peaking at 16.6% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Was tract 42043023400 redlined?
The dominant 1930s HOLC grade across this tract is D (Hazardous / redlined). Roughly 16% of the tract's area sits inside historically redlined (grade-D) zones drawn by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in Harrisburg. Source: Mapping Inequality, University of Richmond.