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Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally

Lower Moosic Eviction Risk: Lower , Old Forge

Tract 42069112700 · Lackawanna County, PA · pop 2,910 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 42069112700 covers part of the Lower Moosic area of Old Forge, PA, and scores 3.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,910 residents. 32% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 20% Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units1,410
Renter share35.7%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate7.9%
Median income$68,548

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Lower Moosic
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Old Forge
Very High
Within county
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#42 of 60 tracts In Lackawanna County
Low
Within state
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#2,398 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Old Forge and the region

Centroid at 41.3627, -75.7350 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lower Moosic scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Old Forge
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
7.9% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$947 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Old Forge
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Old Forge
6.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Old Forge
3.9

How Lower Moosic compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lower Moosic risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.4This tracttract 1127004.0Old Forgeparent city4.6Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 26

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 33Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 1.24%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.6%Peak (2006)
  • 7Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 42069112700
Filings climbed 40% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lower Moosic. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lower Moosic

The clearest offset is economic stress at 2/10. It sits 1.2 points below the Lackawanna County average of 4.6.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.3/10. Court records carry 33 eviction filings across 7 observed years. Average gross rent is $947, 10% above the Old Forge average.

Filings peaked in 2006 at 1.6% of renter households. In a typical year about 1.2% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 29th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $68,548, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 42069112700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42069112700?

Census tract 42069112700 in the Lower Moosic neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42069112700?

Median gross rent is $947/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42069112700?

7.9% of residents in tract 42069112700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,910.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42069112700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 23th, household 54th, minority 23th, housing 31th.
Q5

Is tract 42069112700 considered part of Lower Moosic?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42069112700 fall within Lower Moosic (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42069112700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 33 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42069112700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.24% of renter households, peaking at 1.6% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42069112700 compare to Old Forge overall?

Tract 42069112700 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Old Forge at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Old Forge; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Old Forge

Top eight tracts in Old Forge ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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