Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally
North Hill Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , New Castle
Tract 42073000100 · Lawrence County, PA · pop 4,433 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 42073000100 covers North Hill Historic District in New Castle, home to 4,433 residents. For landlords it grades 6.2/10, an elevated reading. On the national scale it ranks #17,242 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 56% of renter households, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $747 a month against an average household income of $51,829 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,928
Renter share37.0%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate17.2%
Median income$51,829
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
22
th percentile
Low
Within county
74
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across New Castle and the region
Centroid at 41.0190, -80.3365 · click any tract to drill in
Why North Hill Historic District scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from New Castle
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.5
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
17.2% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$747 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from New Castle
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New Castle
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from New Castle
8.0
How North Hill Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 75
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 80%Socioeconomic
- 86%Household composition
- 24%Racial/ethnic minority
- 57%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 20%Grade A
- 37%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 61Total filings over 4 yrs
- 4.62%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.1%Peak (2005)
- 16Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 60% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within North Hill Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in North Hill Historic District
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from New Castle eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lawrence County average of 5.5 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 75th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 42073000100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42073000100?
Census tract 42073000100 in the North Hill Historic District neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42073000100?
Median gross rent is $747/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42073000100?
17.2% of residents in tract 42073000100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,433.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42073000100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 86th, minority 24th, housing 57th.
Q5
Is tract 42073000100 considered part of North Hill Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42073000100 fall within North Hill Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42073000100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 61 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 42073000100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.62% of renter households, peaking at 6.1% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42073000100 compare to New Castle overall?
Tract 42073000100 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of New Castle at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Castle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42073000100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in New Castle
Top eight tracts in New Castle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
North Hill Historic District
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
North Hill Historic District
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
South Side
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
North Hill Historic District
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
North Hill Historic District
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
North Hill Historic District
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Mahoningtown
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
East Side
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Related
Explore the geography around tract 42073000100
Parent city ↑
New Castle
4.4 / 10
Parent county ↑
Lawrence County
Parent state ↑
Pennsylvania
Sibling tract →
North Hill Historic District
6 / 10
Sibling tract →
North Hill Historic District
6 / 10
Sibling tract →
North Hill Historic District
6.4 / 10
Methodology
How the score is built
Interactive map
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