Within neighborhood
40
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,930 of 84,120 nationally
North Hill Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , New Castle
Tract 42073000200 · Lawrence County, PA · pop 2,121 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
In the North Hill Historic District neighborhood of New Castle, census tract 42073000200 scores 6.3/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 82nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 50% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $738 monthly, set against $42,000 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units782
Renter share34.9%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate21.0%
Median income$42,000
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
82
th percentile
High
Within state
87
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across New Castle and the region
Centroid at 41.0035, -80.3243 · click any tract to drill in
Why North Hill Historic District scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from New Castle
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.5
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
21.0% poverty · this tract
5.2
Supply constraint
$738 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from New Castle
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New Castle
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from New Castle
8.0
How North Hill Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 71
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 84%Socioeconomic
- 50%Household composition
- 39%Racial/ethnic minority
- 57%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 30%Grade C
- 2%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 100Total filings over 4 yrs
- 9.85%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.9%Peak (2000)
- 26Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 19% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within North Hill Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in North Hill Historic District
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from New Castle eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lawrence County average of 5.5 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 71st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 100 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 9.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 9.9% of renter households in 2000.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 42073000200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42073000200?
Census tract 42073000200 in the North Hill Historic District neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42073000200?
Median gross rent is $738/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42073000200?
21.0% of residents in tract 42073000200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,121.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42073000200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 50th, minority 39th, housing 57th.
Q5
Is tract 42073000200 considered part of North Hill Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42073000200 fall within North Hill Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42073000200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 100 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 42073000200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.85% of renter households, peaking at 9.9% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42073000200 compare to New Castle overall?
Tract 42073000200 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of New Castle at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Castle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42073000200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 2% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in New Castle
Top eight tracts in New Castle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
North Hill Historic District
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
North Hill Historic District
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
South Side
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
North Hill Historic District
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
North Hill Historic District
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Mahoningtown
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
North Hill Historic District
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
East Side
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Related
Explore the geography around tract 42073000200
Parent city ↑
New Castle
4.4 / 10
Parent county ↑
Lawrence County
Parent state ↑
Pennsylvania
Sibling tract →
North Hill Historic District
6 / 10
Sibling tract →
North Hill Historic District
5.6 / 10
Sibling tract →
North Hill Historic District
6.4 / 10
Methodology
How the score is built
Interactive map
Explore all 84k tracts