North Hill Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , New Castle
Tract 42073000300 · Lawrence County, PA · pop 3,893 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 6.7/10, tract 42073000300 in North Hill Historic District in New Castle ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 3,893 residents. It lands near the 90th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
60% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $647 monthly, set against $36,625 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 48% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across New Castle and the region
Centroid at 41.0091, -80.3455 · click any tract to drill in
Why North Hill Historic District scores 6.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow North Hill Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 97
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 87%Socioeconomic
- 99%Household composition
- 39%Racial/ethnic minority
- 98%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 11%Grade A
- 25%Grade B
- 26%Grade C
- 8%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 399Total filings over 4 yrs
- 13.78%Avg annual filing rate
- 17.4%Peak (2006)
- 106Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within North Hill Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in North Hill Historic District
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from New Castle eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lawrence County average of 5.5 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 97th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 399 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 13.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 17.4% of renter households in 2006.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
About tract 42073000300
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42073000300?
What is the average rent in tract 42073000300?
What is the poverty rate in tract 42073000300?
How socially vulnerable is tract 42073000300?
Is tract 42073000300 considered part of North Hill Historic District?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42073000300?
How does tract 42073000300 compare to New Castle overall?
Was tract 42073000300 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in New Castle
Top eight tracts in New Castle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.