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Neighborhood · Allentown, PA

Union Terrace Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 7,303 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.6/10 · range 6.6–6.6

Union Terrace maps to a single census tract in Allentown, PA and houses 7,303 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 6.6/10, Elevated tier. Against a Allentown baseline of 35.0%, 46% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

Annualized rent equals 32% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. The poverty rate is 29%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

18% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The clearest offset is supply constraint, at 2.3/10. Average gross rent is $1,097, 17% below the Allentown average of $1,317.

On the high side is economic stress at 7.2/10. The filing record is not thin: 825 evictions logged in this tract. Filing activity peaked in 2005 at 8.6% of renter households.

Recent filings have not receded much: 7.8% in 2006 against a 8.6% peak. Among the 26 mapped neighborhoods of Allentown, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third.

Social vulnerability runs high at 9.2/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. 62% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 6.6/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
6.6
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Union Terrace vs Allentown How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
46.3% +32%
Allentown: 35.0%
Average gross rent
$1,097 -17%
Allentown: $1,317
Average HH income
$41,023 -23%
Allentown: $53,403
Poverty rate
28.8% +34%
Allentown: 21.6%
Renter share
61.6% +8%
Allentown: 56.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Union Terrace and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 6.6–6.6

Why Union Terrace scores 6.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
46% of income on rent · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
62% renter households · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Economic stress
28.8% below poverty line · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Risk score comparison

Union Terrace vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Union Terrace score vs. parent city, state, U.S.6.6Union TerraceNeighborhood5.2Parent cityhost city4.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Union Terrace

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
42077002100 6.6 7,303 46% $1,097
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 91

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 85%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 93%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 80%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 78%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Union Terrace

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 825Total filings (sum)
  • 7.20%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.6%Peak year (2005)
  • 7.79%Latest filed (2006)
Frequently asked

About Union Terrace

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Union Terrace?

Union Terrace scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Union Terrace compare to Allentown overall?

Union Terrace scores 1.4 points higher than Allentown overall (5.2/10). Renters spend 46% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $1,097 vs $1,317.
Q3

What is the average rent in Union Terrace?

Average gross rent in Union Terrace is $1,097/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Union Terrace residents are renters?

62% of Union Terrace households are renter-occupied (vs 57% in Allentown). The neighborhood has 7,303 residents.
Q5

Is Union Terrace a high social-vulnerability area?

Union Terrace sits in the 91st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Union Terrace for landlords?

Union Terrace carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Allentown as a whole (5.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Union Terrace?

Union Terrace has 7,040 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (56.4%), White (non-Hispanic) (28.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (6.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Union Terrace

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Allentown

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Union Terrace.

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