Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #17,132 of 84,120 nationally
Mayflower Eviction Risk: Elevated , Wilkes-Barre
Tract 42079200800 · Luzerne County, PA · pop 4,059 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
42079200800 is a census tract in the Mayflower area of Wilkes-Barre, PA. It scores 6.2/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,059. The severe-burden share is 29%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units1,536
Renter share61.9%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate35.8%
Median income$37,215
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
93
th percentile
Very High
Within county
88
th percentile
High
Within state
84
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Wilkes-Barre and the region
Centroid at 41.2334, -75.8853 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mayflower scores 6.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Wilkes-Barre
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
35.8% poverty · this tract
9.0
Supply constraint
$873 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Wilkes-Barre
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Wilkes-Barre
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Wilkes-Barre
7.2
How Mayflower compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 97
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 83%Socioeconomic
- 100%Household composition
- 69%Racial/ethnic minority
- 88%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 89%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 295Total filings over 7 yrs
- 6.01%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.8%Peak (2004)
- 29Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 38% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Mayflower. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mayflower
What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10. On the high side, economic stress reads 9/10.
The poverty rate is 36%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Against the Luzerne County average of 4.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points.
Against Luzerne County at 38.9%, 48% of renters here are cost-burdened. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 7.2/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 295 filings here across 7 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2004, when 7.8% of renter households were served.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground A ("Best"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 6.0% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 80% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 9.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 42079200800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42079200800?
Census tract 42079200800 in the Mayflower neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42079200800?
Median gross rent is $873/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42079200800?
35.8% of residents in tract 42079200800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,059.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42079200800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 100th, minority 69th, housing 88th.
Q5
Is tract 42079200800 considered part of Mayflower?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42079200800 fall within Mayflower (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42079200800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 295 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42079200800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.01% of renter households, peaking at 7.8% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42079200800 compare to Wilkes-Barre overall?
Tract 42079200800 scores 6.2/10, higher than the parent city of Wilkes-Barre at 4.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Wilkes-Barre eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42079200800 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Wilkes-Barre
Top eight tracts in Wilkes-Barre ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
Mayflower
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
East End
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
North End
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Parsons
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Rolling Mill Hill
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
North End
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Mayflower
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
East End
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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