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Neighborhood · Philadelphia, PA

Fern Rock Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,066 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10 · range 5.4–5.4

Fern Rock is a black (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Philadelphia with 1 census tract and a population of 4,066 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 49% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 11% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,089/month sits 22% lower than the Philadelphia citywide average ($1,397).

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Fern Rock vs Philadelphia How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
49.1% +56%
Philadelphia: 31.4%
Average gross rent
$1,089 -22%
Philadelphia: $1,397
Average HH income
$65,282 +8%
Philadelphia: $60,698
Poverty rate
17.2% -22%
Philadelphia: 22.0%
Renter share
47.2% -2%
Philadelphia: 48.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Fern Rock and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.4–5.4

Why Fern Rock scores 5.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Rent control risk
49% of income on rent · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
47% renter households · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Economic stress
17.2% below poverty line · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Risk score comparison

Fern Rock vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Fern Rock score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Fern Rock: 5.45.4Fern RockNeighborhoodParent city: 5.55.5Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Fern Rock

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
42101027600 5.4 4,066 49% $1,089
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 81

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 81%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 44%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 98%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 77%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Fern Rock

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 474Total filings (sum)
  • 14.46%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.7%Peak year (2012)
  • 12.71%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 522Total filings 2020-21
  • 6.8Avg monthly observed
  • 9.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.75×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Palm Beach).

Frequently asked

About Fern Rock

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Fern Rock?

Fern Rock scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Fern Rock compare to Philadelphia overall?

Fern Rock scores 0.1 points lower than Philadelphia overall (5.5/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,089 vs $1,397.
Q3

What is the average rent in Fern Rock?

Average gross rent in Fern Rock is $1,089/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Fern Rock residents are renters?

47% of Fern Rock households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Philadelphia). The neighborhood has 4,066 residents.
Q5

Is Fern Rock a high social-vulnerability area?

Fern Rock sits in the 81st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Fern Rock for landlords?

Fern Rock carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Philadelphia as a whole (5.5/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Fern Rock?

Fern Rock has 4,025 residents (Black (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (77.7%), Hispanic / Latino (14.2%), Other / Multiracial (5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Fern Rock

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Philadelphia

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Fern Rock.

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