Skip to content
Neighborhood · Philadelphia, PA

Fern Rock Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 4,066 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.3/10 · range 6.3–6.3

Fern Rock maps to a single census tract in Philadelphia, PA, population 4,066. The Eviction Risk Score is 6.3/10, in the Elevated tier. Cost burden runs roughly one in two against 31.4% citywide, putting Fern Rock 17.7% over its own city.

The main counterweight is supply constraint, at 1/10. Average gross rent is $1,089, 22% below the Philadelphia average of $1,397. Running hot is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10.

The severe-burden share is 11%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The filing record is not thin: 474 evictions logged in this tract. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 7.5/10.

The poverty rate is 17%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The worst year on record was 2012, when filings touched 16.7% of renter households.

Recent filings have not receded much: 12.7% in 2016 against a 16.7% peak. Among the 152 mapped neighborhoods of Philadelphia, it ranks #75 by risk, the middle third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Brewerytown and Point Breeze.

One tract means one number: 6.3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
6.3
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Fern Rock vs Philadelphia How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
49.1% +56%
Philadelphia: 31.4%
Average gross rent
$1,089 -22%
Philadelphia: $1,397
Average HH income
$65,282 +8%
Philadelphia: $60,698
Poverty rate
17.2% -22%
Philadelphia: 22.0%
Renter share
47.2% -2%
Philadelphia: 48.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Fern Rock and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 6.3–6.3

Why Fern Rock scores 6.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Rent control risk
49% of income on rent · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
47% renter households · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Economic stress
17.2% below poverty line · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Risk score comparison

Fern Rock vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Fern Rock score vs. parent city, state, U.S.6.3Fern RockNeighborhood6.6Parent cityhost city4.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Fern Rock

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
42101027600 6.3 4,066 49% $1,089
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 81

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 81%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 44%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 98%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 77%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Fern Rock

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 474Total filings (sum)
  • 14.46%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.7%Peak year (2012)
  • 12.71%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 522Total filings 2020-21
  • 6.8Avg monthly observed
  • 9.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.75×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Palm Beach).

Frequently asked

About Fern Rock

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Fern Rock?

Fern Rock scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Fern Rock compare to Philadelphia overall?

Fern Rock scores 0.3 points lower than Philadelphia overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,089 vs $1,397.
Q3

What is the average rent in Fern Rock?

Average gross rent in Fern Rock is $1,089/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Fern Rock residents are renters?

47% of Fern Rock households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Philadelphia). The neighborhood has 4,066 residents.
Q5

Is Fern Rock a high social-vulnerability area?

Fern Rock sits in the 81st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Fern Rock for landlords?

Fern Rock carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Philadelphia as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Fern Rock?

Fern Rock has 4,025 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (77.7%), Hispanic / Latino (14.2%), Other / Multiracial (5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Fern Rock

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Philadelphia

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Fern Rock.

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further