Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #16,571 of 84,120 nationally
Fern Rock Eviction Risk: Elevated , Philadelphia
Tract 42101027600 · Philadelphia County, PA · pop 4,066 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
42101027600 is a census tract in the Fern Rock area of Philadelphia, PA. It scores 6.3/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,066. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10.
Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,897
Renter share47.2%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate17.2%
Median income$65,282
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
45
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
84
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Philadelphia and the region
Centroid at 40.0430, -75.1393 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fern Rock scores 6.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Philadelphia
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
17.2% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$1,089 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Philadelphia
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
How Fern Rock compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 81
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 81%Socioeconomic
- 44%Household composition
- 98%Racial/ethnic minority
- 77%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 1%Grade A
- 99%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 474Total filings over 4 yrs
- 14.46%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.7%Peak (2012)
- 107Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 522Total filings 2020-21
- 6.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 9.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.75×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Palm Beach as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fern Rock
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.2/10. Average gross rent is $1,089, 22% below the Philadelphia average.
The severe-burden share is 11%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Court records carry 474 eviction filings across 4 observed years.
Filings peaked in 2012 at 16.7% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 14.5% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #16,571 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
49% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 42101027600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42101027600?
Census tract 42101027600 in the Fern Rock neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42101027600?
Median gross rent is $1,089/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42101027600?
17.2% of residents in tract 42101027600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,066.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42101027600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 44th, minority 98th, housing 77th.
Q5
Is tract 42101027600 considered part of Fern Rock?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42101027600 fall within Fern Rock (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42101027600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 474 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 42101027600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.46% of renter households, peaking at 16.7% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 42101027600 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.75× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Palm Beach), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 42101027600 compare to Philadelphia overall?
Tract 42101027600 scores 6.3/10, lower than the parent city of Philadelphia at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Philadelphia eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 42101027600 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Philadelphia
Top eight tracts in Philadelphia ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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