4 census tracts · pop 18,802 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.2/10
· range 5.2–6.8
Girard Estates is a 4-tract neighborhood of Philadelphia, PA and houses 18,802 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 6.2/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. 44% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the Philadelphia rate of 31.4%.
The severe-burden share is 28%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The 4 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 5.2 to 6.8, a 1.6-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address.
The strongest single driver of the headline number is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10. Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 7.5/10. Filings are well documented here: 826 across 4 observed tracts.
Sitting well above the midpoint is housing-court posture at 7.5/10. The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 17.6% of renter households.
That places it #79 of 152 neighborhoods in Philadelphia. Judgments average 4.6% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. For a like-for-like read, Ivy Hill and West Oak Lane score within a fraction of it.
Average gross rent runs $1,425, close to the Philadelphia average. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $67,250.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.6 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
6.2
Elevated
4 tracts · population-weighted
Girard Estates vs PhiladelphiaHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority62%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport54%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Girard Estates
Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
826Total filings (sum)
7.26%Avg annual filing rate
17.6%Peak year (2016)
6.23%Latest filed (2016)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
396Total filings 2020-21
1.4Avg monthly observed
3.9Pre-pandemic baseline
0.35×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Palm Beach).
Frequently asked
About Girard Estates
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Girard Estates?
Girard Estates scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Girard Estates compare to Philadelphia overall?
Girard Estates scores 0.4 points lower than Philadelphia overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 44% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,425 vs $1,397.
Q3
What is the average rent in Girard Estates?
Average gross rent in Girard Estates is $1,425/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Girard Estates residents are renters?
38% of Girard Estates households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Philadelphia). The neighborhood has 18,802 residents.
Q5
Is Girard Estates a high social-vulnerability area?
Girard Estates sits in the 59th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Girard Estates have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Girard Estates is census tract 42101003702 (score 6.8/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.2 to 6.8, a spread of 1.6 points.
Q7
How safe is Girard Estates for landlords?
Girard Estates carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.2/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Philadelphia as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Girard Estates?
Girard Estates has 18,451 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (45.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (24%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (17.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
