4 census tracts · pop 18,802 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.3/10
· range 4.2–5.8
Girard Estates is a white-black neighborhood in Philadelphia with 4 census tracts and a population of 18,802 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.3/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 44% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 28% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,425/month sits 2% higher than the Philadelphia citywide average ($1,397).
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
4 tracts · population-weighted
Girard Estates vs PhiladelphiaHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority62%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport54%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Girard Estates
Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
826Total filings (sum)
7.26%Avg annual filing rate
17.6%Peak year (2016)
6.23%Latest filed (2016)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
396Total filings 2020-21
1.4Avg monthly observed
3.9Pre-pandemic baseline
0.35×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Palm Beach).
Frequently asked
About Girard Estates
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Girard Estates?
Girard Estates scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Girard Estates compare to Philadelphia overall?
Girard Estates scores 0.2 points lower than Philadelphia overall (5.5/10). Renters spend 44% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,425 vs $1,397.
Q3
What is the average rent in Girard Estates?
Average gross rent in Girard Estates is $1,425/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Girard Estates residents are renters?
38% of Girard Estates households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Philadelphia). The neighborhood has 18,802 residents.
Q5
Is Girard Estates a high social-vulnerability area?
Girard Estates sits in the 59th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Girard Estates have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Girard Estates is census tract 42101003702 (score 5.8/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.2 to 5.8, a spread of 1.6 points.
Q7
How safe is Girard Estates for landlords?
Girard Estates carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.3/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Philadelphia as a whole (5.5/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Girard Estates?
Girard Estates has 18,451 residents (White-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (45.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (24%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (17.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
