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Neighborhood · Philadelphia, PA

Germantown Eviction Risk: High

1 census tracts · pop 1,401 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8/10 · range 8–8

Germantown is a one-tract neighborhood of Philadelphia, PA and houses 1,401 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 8/10, in the High tier. Set annual rent against average household income of $18,646 and the ratio lands at 57%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Cost burden runs 68% against 31.4% citywide, putting Germantown 36.5% over its own city. 37% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Average gross rent is $884, 37% below the Philadelphia average of $1,397. The clearest offset is supply constraint, at 1/10.

82% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. The poverty rate is 35%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Sitting well above the midpoint is economic stress at 8.7/10. Court records for this tract carry 155 eviction filings. Running hot is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10.

The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 9.0% of renter households. That places it #1 of 152 neighborhoods in Philadelphia.

Judgments average 3.4% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. For a like-for-like read, Mantua and Franklinville score within a fraction of it.

Social vulnerability runs high at 8.8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

One tract means one number: 8/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
8
High
1 tracts · population-weighted
Germantown vs Philadelphia How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
67.9% +116%
Philadelphia: 31.4%
Average gross rent
$884 -37%
Philadelphia: $1,397
Average HH income
$18,646 -69%
Philadelphia: $60,698
Poverty rate
34.8% +58%
Philadelphia: 22.0%
Renter share
81.7% +69%
Philadelphia: 48.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Germantown and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 8–8

Why Germantown scores 8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Rent control risk
68% of income on rent · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
82% renter households · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Economic stress
34.8% below poverty line · Range 8.7–8.7 across tracts
8.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Risk score comparison

Germantown vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Germantown score vs. parent city, state, U.S.8.0GermantownNeighborhood6.6Parent cityhost city4.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Germantown

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
42101024100 8 1,401 68% $884
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 87

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 80%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 83%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 87%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 78%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Germantown

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 155Total filings (sum)
  • 6.83%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.0%Peak year (2016)
  • 8.96%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 119Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.6Avg monthly observed
  • 2.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.61×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Palm Beach).

Frequently asked

About Germantown

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Germantown?

Germantown scores 8/10 (High tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Germantown compare to Philadelphia overall?

Germantown scores 1.4 points higher than Philadelphia overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 68% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $884 vs $1,397.
Q3

What is the average rent in Germantown?

Average gross rent in Germantown is $884/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Germantown residents are renters?

82% of Germantown households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Philadelphia). The neighborhood has 1,401 residents.
Q5

Is Germantown a high social-vulnerability area?

Germantown sits in the 87th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Germantown for landlords?

Germantown carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Philadelphia as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Germantown?

Germantown has 1,480 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (67.7%), White (non-Hispanic) (19.7%), Other / Multiracial (9.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Germantown

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Philadelphia

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Germantown.

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