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Neighborhood · Philadelphia, PA

Grays Ferry Eviction Risk: Moderate

6 census tracts · pop 17,404 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.7/10 · range 4.7–6.4

Grays Ferry is a black-white neighborhood in Philadelphia with 6 census tracts and a population of 17,404 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.7/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 44% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 27% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,100/month sits 21% lower than the Philadelphia citywide average ($1,397).

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
6 tracts · population-weighted
Grays Ferry vs Philadelphia How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
44.4% +41%
Philadelphia: 31.4%
Average gross rent
$1,100 -21%
Philadelphia: $1,397
Average HH income
$63,014 +4%
Philadelphia: $60,698
Poverty rate
20.0% -9%
Philadelphia: 22.0%
Renter share
52.1% +8%
Philadelphia: 48.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Grays Ferry and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 6 tracts span score 4.7–6.4

Why Grays Ferry scores 5.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Rent control risk
44% of income on rent · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
52% renter households · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Economic stress
20.0% below poverty line · Range 2.2–6.2 across tracts
5.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–5.0 across tracts
2.3
Risk score comparison

Grays Ferry vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Grays Ferry score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Grays Ferry: 5.75.7Grays FerryNeighborhoodParent city: 5.55.5Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Grays Ferry?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.7 points from 4.7 to 6.4. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

6 tracts in Grays Ferry

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
42101003600 6.4 6,915 49% $548
42101980903 5.6 6
42101980904 5.6 1
42101980902 5.6
42101003300 5.5 6,286 37% $1,422
42101003200 4.7 4,196 49% $1,531
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 86

Pop-weighted across 6 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 88%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 79%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 83%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 59%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Grays Ferry

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,747Total filings (sum)
  • 18.19%Avg annual filing rate
  • 37.9%Peak year (2016)
  • 22.95%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 1,078Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.9Avg monthly observed
  • 16.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.38×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Palm Beach).

Frequently asked

About Grays Ferry

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Grays Ferry?

Grays Ferry scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 6 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Grays Ferry compare to Philadelphia overall?

Grays Ferry scores 0.2 points higher than Philadelphia overall (5.5/10). Renters spend 44% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,100 vs $1,397.
Q3

What is the average rent in Grays Ferry?

Average gross rent in Grays Ferry is $1,100/month (pop-weighted across 6 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Grays Ferry residents are renters?

52% of Grays Ferry households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Philadelphia). The neighborhood has 17,404 residents.
Q5

Is Grays Ferry a high social-vulnerability area?

Grays Ferry sits in the 86th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Grays Ferry have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Grays Ferry is census tract 42101003600 (score 6.4/10). Across the 6 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.7 to 6.4, a spread of 1.7 points.
Q7

How safe is Grays Ferry for landlords?

Grays Ferry carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.7/10). Pop-weighted across 6 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Philadelphia as a whole (5.5/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Grays Ferry?

Grays Ferry has 17,281 residents (Black-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (54.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (23.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (11.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Grays Ferry

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Philadelphia

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Grays Ferry.

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