Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,578 of 84,120 nationally
Grays Ferry Eviction Risk: Moderate , Philadelphia
Tract 42101003200 · Philadelphia County, PA · pop 4,196 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
For landlords sizing up the Grays Ferry neighborhood of Philadelphia, census tract 42101003200 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.7/10. It lands near the 90th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 49% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,531 a month against an average household income of $68,250 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 29% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,719
Renter share29.1%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate8.9%
Median income$68,250
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
23
th percentile
Low
Within county
23
th percentile
Low
Within state
68
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Philadelphia and the region
Centroid at 39.9333, -75.1854 · click any tract to drill in
Why Grays Ferry scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Philadelphia
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
8.9% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,531 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Philadelphia
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
How Grays Ferry compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 72
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 77%Socioeconomic
- 61%Household composition
- 85%Racial/ethnic minority
- 48%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 100%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 346Total filings over 4 yrs
- 10.82%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.3%Peak (2011)
- 69Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 28% over the past 4 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 229Total filings 2020-21
- 3.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 5.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.53×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Palm Beach as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Grays Ferry. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Grays Ferry
The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Philadelphia eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Philadelphia County average of 6.8 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 100% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.
The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 42101003200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42101003200?
Census tract 42101003200 in the Grays Ferry neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42101003200?
Median gross rent is $1,531/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42101003200?
8.9% of residents in tract 42101003200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,196.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42101003200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 61th, minority 85th, housing 48th.
Q5
Is tract 42101003200 considered part of Grays Ferry?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42101003200 fall within Grays Ferry (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42101003200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 346 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 42101003200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.82% of renter households, peaking at 13.3% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 42101003200 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.53× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Palm Beach), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 42101003200 compare to Philadelphia overall?
Tract 42101003200 scores 4.7/10, lower than the parent city of Philadelphia at 5.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Philadelphia eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 42101003200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Philadelphia
Top eight tracts in Philadelphia ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
Juniata
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Hartranft
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Somerville
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Northwood
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Southwest Schuylkill
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Chopersville
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Chopersville
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Carroll Park
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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