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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Grays Ferry Eviction Risk: Moderate , Philadelphia

Tract 42101003200 · Philadelphia County, PA · pop 4,196 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Tract 42101003200 sits in the Grays Ferry area of Philadelphia eviction risk, PA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. Population here is 4,196. The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 15% Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,719
Renter share29.1%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate8.9%
Median income$68,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 6 tracts In Grays Ferry
Very Low
Within parent city
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#300 of 408 tracts In Philadelphia
Low
Within county
26 th percentile
Rank, 26th percentileLowHigh
#302 of 408 tracts In Philadelphia County
Low
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#957 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Philadelphia and the region

Centroid at 39.9333, -75.1854 · click any tract to drill in

Why Grays Ferry scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Philadelphia
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
8.9% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,531 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Philadelphia
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5

How Grays Ferry compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Grays Ferry risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0032006.6Philadelphiaparent city6.6Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 72

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 346Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 10.82%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.3%Peak (2011)
  • 69Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 42101003200
Filings dropped 28% over the past 4 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 229Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 5.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.53×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Palm Beach as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Grays Ferry. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Grays Ferry

What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.2/10. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.2/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8/10.

Against the Philadelphia County average of 6.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 346 filings here across 4 tracked years.

At $1,531 a month, rents run 10% over what the rest of Philadelphia commands. Filings peaked in 2011 at 13.3% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 10.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 0.8 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. 49% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 42101003200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42101003200?

Census tract 42101003200 in the Grays Ferry neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42101003200?

Median gross rent is $1,531/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42101003200?

8.9% of residents in tract 42101003200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,196.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42101003200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 61th, minority 85th, housing 48th.
Q5

Is tract 42101003200 considered part of Grays Ferry?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42101003200 fall within Grays Ferry (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42101003200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 346 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 42101003200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.82% of renter households, peaking at 13.3% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 42101003200 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.53× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Palm Beach), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 42101003200 compare to Philadelphia overall?

Tract 42101003200 scores 5.4/10, lower than the parent city of Philadelphia at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Philadelphia eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 42101003200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Philadelphia

Top eight tracts in Philadelphia ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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