Grays Ferry Eviction Risk: Moderate , Philadelphia
Tract 42101003200 · Philadelphia County, PA · pop 4,196 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 42101003200 sits in the Grays Ferry area of Philadelphia eviction risk, PA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. Population here is 4,196. The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Philadelphia and the region
Centroid at 39.9333, -75.1854 · click any tract to drill in
Why Grays Ferry scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Grays Ferry compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 72
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 77%Socioeconomic
- 61%Household composition
- 85%Racial/ethnic minority
- 48%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 100%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 346Total filings over 4 yrs
- 10.82%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.3%Peak (2011)
- 69Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 229Total filings 2020-21
- 3.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 5.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.53×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Palm Beach as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Grays Ferry. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in Grays Ferry
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.2/10. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.2/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8/10.
Against the Philadelphia County average of 6.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 346 filings here across 4 tracked years.
At $1,531 a month, rents run 10% over what the rest of Philadelphia commands. Filings peaked in 2011 at 13.3% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 10.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 0.8 points hotter.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. 49% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 42101003200
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42101003200?
What is the average rent in tract 42101003200?
What is the poverty rate in tract 42101003200?
How socially vulnerable is tract 42101003200?
Is tract 42101003200 considered part of Grays Ferry?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42101003200?
Did eviction filings in tract 42101003200 drop during COVID?
How does tract 42101003200 compare to Philadelphia overall?
Was tract 42101003200 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Philadelphia
Top eight tracts in Philadelphia ranked by composite eviction-risk score.