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Neighborhood · Philadelphia, PA

Cobbs Creek Eviction Risk: Elevated

5 census tracts · pop 26,763 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.5/10 · range 6.4–8

Cobbs Creek is a 5-tract neighborhood of Philadelphia, PA and houses 26,763 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 7.5/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. 66% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, far above the Philadelphia rate of 31.4%.

The severe-burden share is 38%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Set annual rent against average household income of $41,210 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

The main counterweight is supply constraint, at 1.9/10. The poverty rate is 26%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Scores across the 5 constituent tracts range from 6.4 to 8. A 1.6-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.

Sitting well above the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10. Filings are well documented here: 1,476 across 5 observed tracts.

Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 7.5/10. At $1,181 a month, rents sit 15% under what the rest of Philadelphia commands.

The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 11.1% of renter households. Among the 152 mapped neighborhoods of Philadelphia, it ranks #43 by risk, the upper third. Judgments average 5.3% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 7.5 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
7.5
Elevated
5 tracts · population-weighted
Cobbs Creek vs Philadelphia How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
65.7% +109%
Philadelphia: 31.4%
Average gross rent
$1,181 -15%
Philadelphia: $1,397
Average HH income
$41,210 -32%
Philadelphia: $60,698
Poverty rate
26.0% +18%
Philadelphia: 22.0%
Renter share
40.1% -17%
Philadelphia: 48.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Cobbs Creek and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 6.4–8

Why Cobbs Creek scores 7.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Rent control risk
66% of income on rent · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
40% renter households · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Economic stress
26.0% below poverty line · Range 3.8–8.6 across tracts
6.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–2.4 across tracts
1.9
Risk score comparison

Cobbs Creek vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Cobbs Creek score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.5Cobbs CreekNeighborhood6.6Parent cityhost city4.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Cobbs Creek?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.6 points from 6.4 to 8. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

5 tracts in Cobbs Creek

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
42101008200 8 7,503 84% $1,282
42101008302 8 4,844 62% $1,173
42101008301 8 4,111 60% $723
42101008400 7.2 5,403 66% $1,332
42101008102 6.4 4,902 45% $1,253
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 89

Pop-weighted across 5 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 83%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 94%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 95%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 62%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Cobbs Creek

Aggregated across 5 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,476Total filings (sum)
  • 9.39%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.1%Peak year (2016)
  • 8.38%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 1,607Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.1Avg monthly observed
  • 7.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.57×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Palm Beach).

Frequently asked

About Cobbs Creek

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Cobbs Creek?

Cobbs Creek scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Cobbs Creek compare to Philadelphia overall?

Cobbs Creek scores 0.9 points higher than Philadelphia overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 66% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,181 vs $1,397.
Q3

What is the average rent in Cobbs Creek?

Average gross rent in Cobbs Creek is $1,181/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Cobbs Creek residents are renters?

40% of Cobbs Creek households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Philadelphia). The neighborhood has 26,763 residents.
Q5

Is Cobbs Creek a high social-vulnerability area?

Cobbs Creek sits in the 89th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Cobbs Creek have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Cobbs Creek is census tract 42101008200 (score 8/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.4 to 8, a spread of 1.6 points.
Q7

How safe is Cobbs Creek for landlords?

Cobbs Creek carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.5/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Philadelphia as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Cobbs Creek?

Cobbs Creek has 27,107 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (85.4%), Other / Multiracial (5.4%), White (non-Hispanic) (4.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Cobbs Creek

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Philadelphia

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Cobbs Creek.

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