Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #6,330 of 84,120 nationally
Happy Hollow Eviction Risk: High , Central Falls
Tract 44007010800 · Providence County, RI · pop 5,586 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
With a score of 8.3/10, tract 44007010800 in the Happy Hollow area of Central Falls, RI reads high for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,586 residents. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10.
Risk score
8.3
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45%
Stable renters 37%
Owners 18%
Tract context
Occupied units2,179
Renter share82.6%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate24.8%
Median income$42,406
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
99
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Central Falls and the region
Centroid at 41.8860, -71.3883 · click any tract to drill in
Why Happy Hollow scores 8.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Central Falls
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
Rhode Island legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
24.8% poverty · this tract
6.2
Supply constraint
$1,049 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Central Falls
7.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Central Falls
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Central Falls
8.0
How Happy Hollow compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 83%Racial/ethnic minority
- 87%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 42%Grade B
- 48%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 187Total filings over 2 yrs
- 7.10%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.4%Peak (2016)
- 98Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 405Total filings 2020-21
- 5.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 7.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.69×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Portland, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Happy Hollow. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 31.5%Housing insecurity
- 19.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 39.2%Food insecurity
- 35.9%SNAP enrollment
- 18.3%Transit barriers
- 22.4%No health insurance
- 21.6%Frequent mental distress
- 39.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Happy Hollow
Against the Providence County average of 5.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.6 points. SNAP participation runs 35.9% against 15.2% nationally. This is renter territory: 83% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Against Providence County at 43.2%, 55% of renters here are cost-burdened. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.5/10. 18% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the high side, housing-court posture reads 8/10.
Adults with no health insurance runs 22.4% against 11.3% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 187 evictions over 2 years of observation.
At $1,049 a month, rents run 13% under what the rest of Central Falls commands. Filings peaked in 2016 at 7.4% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 7.1% of renter households face a filing.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 44007010800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44007010800?
Census tract 44007010800 in the Happy Hollow neighborhood scores 8.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 44007010800?
Median gross rent is $1,049/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 44007010800?
24.8% of residents in tract 44007010800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,586.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 44007010800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 95th, minority 83th, housing 87th.
Q5
Is tract 44007010800 considered part of Happy Hollow?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 44007010800 fall within Happy Hollow (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 44007010800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 187 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 44007010800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.10% of renter households, peaking at 7.4% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 44007010800 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.69× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Portland, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 44007010800 struggle to pay rent?
About 31.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 44007010800 compare to Central Falls overall?
Tract 44007010800 scores 8.3/10, higher than the parent city of Central Falls at 6.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Central Falls eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 44007010800 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Central Falls
Top eight tracts in Central Falls ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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