Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally
Happy Hollow Eviction Risk: Moderate , Central Falls
Tract 44007010900 · Providence County, RI · pop 5,475 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Tract 44007010900, home to 5,475 residents in the Happy Hollow area of Central Falls, scores 6.9/10 for landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #6,242 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 45% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,162 a month against an average household income of $51,610 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 62% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 34%
Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units1,669
Renter share62.0%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate21.8%
Median income$51,610
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
79
th percentile
High
Within state
87
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Central Falls and the region
Centroid at 41.8944, -71.3893 · click any tract to drill in
Why Happy Hollow scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Central Falls
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
Rhode Island legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
21.8% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$1,162 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Central Falls
7.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Central Falls
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Central Falls
8.0
How Happy Hollow compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 95
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 95%Socioeconomic
- 83%Household composition
- 84%Racial/ethnic minority
- 86%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 36%Grade B
- 59%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 85Total filings over 2 yrs
- 3.93%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.8%Peak (2015)
- 36Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 313Total filings 2020-21
- 4.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.94×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Portland, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Happy Hollow. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 33.0%Housing insecurity
- 19.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 40.7%Food insecurity
- 36.4%SNAP enrollment
- 18.9%Transit barriers
- 25.3%No health insurance
- 21.9%Frequent mental distress
- 39.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Happy Hollow
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Central Falls eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Providence County average of 6.1 and above the Rhode Island statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
In CDC survey modeling, about 33.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 19.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 44007010900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44007010900?
Census tract 44007010900 in the Happy Hollow neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 44007010900?
Median gross rent is $1,162/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 44007010900?
21.8% of residents in tract 44007010900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,475.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 44007010900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 83th, minority 84th, housing 86th.
Q5
Is tract 44007010900 considered part of Happy Hollow?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 44007010900 fall within Happy Hollow (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 44007010900?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 85 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 44007010900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.93% of renter households, peaking at 4.8% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 44007010900 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.94× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Portland, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 44007010900 struggle to pay rent?
About 33.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 44007010900 compare to Central Falls overall?
Tract 44007010900 scores 5.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Central Falls at 5.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Central Falls eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 44007010900 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Central Falls
Top eight tracts in Central Falls ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related