Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally
Sayles Bleachery Eviction Risk: Moderate , Central Falls
Tract 44007011100 · Providence County, RI · pop 4,258 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Here is how census tract 44007011100, in Sayles Bleachery in Central Falls eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 6.8/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 4,258. That is riskier than about 91% of US census tracts.
60% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,239 monthly, set against $46,279 in average yearly household income, roughly 32% of income at the averages. About 74% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units1,524
Renter share74.1%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate12.7%
Median income$46,279
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
82
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Central Falls and the region
Centroid at 41.8868, -71.4007 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sayles Bleachery scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Central Falls
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
Rhode Island legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
12.7% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,239 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Central Falls
7.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Central Falls
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Central Falls
8.0
How Sayles Bleachery compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 96
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 98%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 89%Racial/ethnic minority
- 64%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 40%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 42%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 89Total filings over 2 yrs
- 4.54%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.6%Peak (2015)
- 43Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 261Total filings 2020-21
- 3.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.84×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Portland, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Sayles Bleachery. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 35.2%Housing insecurity
- 20.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 43.6%Food insecurity
- 38.6%SNAP enrollment
- 20.2%Transit barriers
- 26.8%No health insurance
- 22.0%Frequent mental distress
- 40.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sayles Bleachery
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Central Falls eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Providence County average of 6.1 and above the Rhode Island statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 89 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 4.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.6% of renter households in 2015.
In CDC survey modeling, about 35.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 20.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 44007011100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44007011100?
Census tract 44007011100 in the Sayles Bleachery neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 44007011100?
Median gross rent is $1,239/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 44007011100?
12.7% of residents in tract 44007011100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,258.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 44007011100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 95th, minority 89th, housing 64th.
Q5
Is tract 44007011100 considered part of Sayles Bleachery?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 44007011100 fall within Sayles Bleachery (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 44007011100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 89 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 44007011100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.54% of renter households, peaking at 4.6% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 44007011100 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.84× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Portland, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 44007011100 struggle to pay rent?
About 35.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 44007011100 compare to Central Falls overall?
Tract 44007011100 scores 5.1/10, lower than the parent city of Central Falls at 5.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Central Falls eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 44007011100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 42% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Central Falls
Top eight tracts in Central Falls ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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