Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #6,330 of 84,120 nationally
Sayles Bleachery Eviction Risk: High , Central Falls
Tract 44007011000 · Providence County, RI · pop 7,040 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 44007011000 covers part of the Sayles Bleachery area of Central Falls, RI, and scores 8.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Against Providence County at 43.2%, roughly two in three of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
8.3
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units2,115
Renter share65.4%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate26.7%
Median income$43,809
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
100
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Central Falls and the region
Centroid at 41.8913, -71.3974 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sayles Bleachery scores 8.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Central Falls
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
Rhode Island legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
26.7% poverty · this tract
6.7
Supply constraint
$1,045 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Central Falls
7.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Central Falls
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Central Falls
8.0
How Sayles Bleachery compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 91
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 88%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 54%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 73%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 7%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 147Total filings over 2 yrs
- 5.02%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.9%Peak (2015)
- 73Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 409Total filings 2020-21
- 5.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 6.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.85×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Portland, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Sayles Bleachery. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 40.4%Housing insecurity
- 26.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 52.5%Food insecurity
- 51.3%SNAP enrollment
- 25.4%Transit barriers
- 29.9%No health insurance
- 23.9%Frequent mental distress
- 46.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sayles Bleachery
Food insecurity runs 52.5% against 17.8% nationally. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10. Against the Providence County average of 5.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.6 points.
Severe burden reaches 30%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 26.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.5/10.
65% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The poverty rate is 27%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 8/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 147 filings here across 2 tracked years. Average gross rent is $1,045, 13% below the Central Falls average.
Filings peaked in 2015 at 4.9% of renter households. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Pawtucket & Central Falls. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 5.0% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 44007011000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44007011000?
Census tract 44007011000 in the Sayles Bleachery neighborhood scores 8.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 44007011000?
Median gross rent is $1,045/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 44007011000?
26.7% of residents in tract 44007011000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,040.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 44007011000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 88th, minority 87th, housing 54th.
Q5
Is tract 44007011000 considered part of Sayles Bleachery?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 44007011000 fall within Sayles Bleachery (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 44007011000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 147 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 44007011000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.02% of renter households, peaking at 4.9% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 44007011000 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.85× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Portland, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 44007011000 struggle to pay rent?
About 40.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 26.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 44007011000 compare to Central Falls overall?
Tract 44007011000 scores 8.3/10, higher than the parent city of Central Falls at 6.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Central Falls eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 44007011000 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 7% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Central Falls
Top eight tracts in Central Falls ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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