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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Eviction Risk: High , Providence

Tract 44007000800 · Providence County, RI · pop 4,902 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 44007000800 sits in the Downtown area of Providence eviction risk, RI, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8/10. Average gross rent is $2,013, 43% above the Providence average.

Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 48% Owners 12%
Tract context
Occupied units2,595
Renter share87.8%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate22.5%
Median income$54,747

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Downtown
Very High
Within parent city
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 42 tracts In Providence
High
Within county
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#21 of 145 tracts In Providence County
High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 247 tracts In Rhode Island
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Providence and the region

Centroid at 41.8245, -71.4135 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown scores 8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Providence
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
Rhode Island legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
22.5% poverty · this tract
5.6
Supply constraint
$2,013 rent vs county FMR
7.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Providence
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Providence
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Providence
6.5

How Downtown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.08.0This tracttract 000800Providence: 6.66.6Providenceparent cityCounty: 5.75.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.35.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 105Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 3.15%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.8%Peak (2016)
  • 64Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 450Total filings 2020-21
  • 5.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 4.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.33×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 8 filings (1.78× baseline)2020-02-01: 1 filings (0.17× baseline)2020-03-01: 10 filings (3.08× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 1 filings (0.15× baseline)2020-08-01: 1 filings (0.17× baseline)2020-09-01: 2 filings (0.47× baseline)2020-10-01: 11 filings (1.91× baseline)2020-11-01: 3 filings (0.63× baseline)2020-12-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-01-01: 5 filings (1.11× baseline)2021-02-01: 1 filings (0.17× baseline)2021-03-01: 8 filings (2.46× baseline)2021-04-01: 1 filings (0.20× baseline)2021-05-01: 4 filings (1.23× baseline)2021-06-01: 5 filings (1.05× baseline)2021-07-01: 1 filings (0.15× baseline)2021-08-01: 2 filings (0.33× baseline)2021-09-01: 1 filings (0.24× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 3 filings (0.63× baseline)2021-12-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2022-01-01: 3 filings (0.67× baseline)2022-02-01: 3 filings (0.50× baseline)2022-03-01: 11 filings (3.38× baseline)2022-04-01: 1 filings (0.20× baseline)2022-05-01: 2 filings (0.62× baseline)2022-06-01: 1 filings (0.21× baseline)2022-07-01: 4 filings (0.62× baseline)2022-08-01: 5 filings (0.83× baseline)2022-09-01: 8 filings (1.88× baseline)2022-10-01: 3 filings (0.52× baseline)2022-11-01: 8 filings (1.68× baseline)2022-12-01: 11 filings (4.40× baseline)2023-01-01: 6 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-02-01: 3 filings (0.50× baseline)2023-03-01: 16 filings (4.92× baseline)2023-04-01: 16 filings (3.20× baseline)2023-05-01: 8 filings (2.46× baseline)2023-06-01: 5 filings (1.05× baseline)2023-07-01: 8 filings (1.23× baseline)2023-08-01: 10 filings (1.67× baseline)2023-09-01: 6 filings (1.41× baseline)2023-10-01: 9 filings (1.57× baseline)2023-11-01: 8 filings (1.68× baseline)2023-12-01: 15 filings (6.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 18 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 4 filings (0.67× baseline)2024-03-01: 15 filings (4.62× baseline)2024-04-01: 2 filings (0.40× baseline)2024-05-01: 2 filings (0.62× baseline)2024-06-01: 9 filings (1.89× baseline)2024-07-01: 10 filings (1.54× baseline)2024-08-01: 5 filings (0.83× baseline)2024-09-01: 11 filings (2.59× baseline)2024-10-01: 1 filings (0.17× baseline)2024-11-01: 4 filings (0.84× baseline)2024-12-01: 6 filings (2.40× baseline)2025-01-01: 7 filings (1.56× baseline)2025-02-01: 8 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-03-01: 3 filings (0.92× baseline)2025-04-01: 5 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 11 filings (3.38× baseline)2025-06-01: 6 filings (1.26× baseline)2025-07-01: 11 filings (1.69× baseline)2025-08-01: 4 filings (0.67× baseline)2025-09-01: 3 filings (0.71× baseline)2025-10-01: 5 filings (0.87× baseline)2025-11-01: 12 filings (2.53× baseline)2025-12-01: 4 filings (1.60× baseline)2026-01-01: 10 filings (100.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 18 filings (180.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 15 filings (150.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Portland, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown

Set annual rent against average income of $54,747 and the ratio lands at 44%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. This is renter territory: 88% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. It sits 2.3 points above the Providence County average of 5.7.

18% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The voucher gap is 24.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 7.5/10. The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.5/10.

Running hot, supply constraint reads 7.5/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 105 filings here across 2 tracked years.

Filings peaked in 2016 at 3.8% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Providence. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 3.1% of renter households face a filing.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 44007000800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44007000800?

Census tract 44007000800 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 44007000800?

Median gross rent is $2,013/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 44007000800?

22.5% of residents in tract 44007000800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,902.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 44007000800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 34th, minority 66th, housing 97th.
Q5

Is tract 44007000800 considered part of Downtown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 44007000800 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 44007000800?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 105 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 44007000800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.15% of renter households, peaking at 3.8% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 44007000800 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.33× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Portland, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 44007000800 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 44007000800 compare to Providence overall?

Tract 44007000800 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Providence at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Providence eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10

Was tract 44007000800 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Providence

Top eight tracts in Providence ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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