Downtown Eviction Risk: High , Providence
Tract 44007000800 · Providence County, RI · pop 4,902 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 44007000800 sits in the Downtown area of Providence eviction risk, RI, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8/10. Average gross rent is $2,013, 43% above the Providence average.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Providence and the region
Centroid at 41.8245, -71.4135 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Downtown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 81
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 73%Socioeconomic
- 34%Household composition
- 66%Racial/ethnic minority
- 97%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 8%Grade C
- 1%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 105Total filings over 2 yrs
- 3.15%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.8%Peak (2016)
- 64Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 450Total filings 2020-21
- 5.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.33×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Portland, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.6%Housing insecurity
- 8.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.3%Food insecurity
- 15.0%SNAP enrollment
- 9.8%Transit barriers
- 7.6%No health insurance
- 18.4%Frequent mental distress
- 27.0%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Downtown
Set annual rent against average income of $54,747 and the ratio lands at 44%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. This is renter territory: 88% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. It sits 2.3 points above the Providence County average of 5.7.
18% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The voucher gap is 24.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 7.5/10. The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.5/10.
Running hot, supply constraint reads 7.5/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 105 filings here across 2 tracked years.
Filings peaked in 2016 at 3.8% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Providence. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 3.1% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 44007000800
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44007000800?
What is the average rent in tract 44007000800?
What is the poverty rate in tract 44007000800?
How socially vulnerable is tract 44007000800?
Is tract 44007000800 considered part of Downtown?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 44007000800?
Did eviction filings in tract 44007000800 drop during COVID?
What share of households in tract 44007000800 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 44007000800 compare to Providence overall?
Was tract 44007000800 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Providence
Top eight tracts in Providence ranked by composite eviction-risk score.