Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally
Merino Eviction Risk: High , Providence
Tract 44007001700 · Providence County, RI · pop 4,436 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
44007001700 is a census tract in the Merino area of Providence, RI. It scores 8/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,436. 58% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Providence County average of 43.2%.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units1,403
Renter share59.4%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate23.9%
Median income$58,384
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
95
th percentile
Very High
Within county
97
th percentile
Very High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Providence and the region
Centroid at 41.8087, -71.4584 · click any tract to drill in
Why Merino scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Providence
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
Rhode Island legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
23.9% poverty · this tract
6.0
Supply constraint
$1,376 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Providence
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Providence
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Providence
6.5
How Merino compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 78%Socioeconomic
- 74%Household composition
- 88%Racial/ethnic minority
- 46%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 98%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 94Total filings over 2 yrs
- 6.77%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.2%Peak (2016)
- 49Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 198Total filings 2020-21
- 2.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.59×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Portland, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Merino. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 28.4%Housing insecurity
- 15.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 32.6%Food insecurity
- 26.2%SNAP enrollment
- 14.7%Transit barriers
- 20.8%No health insurance
- 19.2%Frequent mental distress
- 32.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Merino
Against the Providence County average of 5.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.3 points. Food insecurity runs 32.6% against 17.8% nationally. 18% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 7.5/10. The poverty rate is 24%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Running hot, local political climate reads 7.5/10. SNAP participation runs 26.2% against 15.2% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 94 evictions over 2 years of observation. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7/10. The worst year on record was 2016, when 7.2% of renter households were served.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 6.8% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 91st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 44007001700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44007001700?
Census tract 44007001700 in the Merino neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 44007001700?
Median gross rent is $1,376/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 44007001700?
23.9% of residents in tract 44007001700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,436.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 44007001700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 74th, minority 88th, housing 46th.
Q5
Is tract 44007001700 considered part of Merino?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 44007001700 fall within Merino (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 44007001700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 94 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 44007001700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.77% of renter households, peaking at 7.2% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 44007001700 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.59× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Portland, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 44007001700 struggle to pay rent?
About 28.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 44007001700 compare to Providence overall?
Tract 44007001700 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Providence at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Providence eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 44007001700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Providence
Top eight tracts in Providence ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · RI
Wesleyan Avenue Historic District
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Downtown
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Federal Hill
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Federal Hill
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Downtown
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Bridgham-Arch-Wilson Street Historic District
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Wanskuck
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Wanskuck
8
/ 10 · High
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