Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally

Bridgham-Arch-Wilson Street Historic District Eviction Risk: High , Providence

Tract 44007001400 · Providence County, RI · pop 6,405 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 44007001400 covers part of the Bridgham-Arch-Wilson Street Historic District area of Providence, RI, and scores 8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Against Providence County at 43.2%, 23% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 56% Owners 28%

Tract context

Occupied units2,109

Renter share72.5%

SVI overall0.98

Poverty rate27.0%

Median income$47,447

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Providence and the region

Centroid at 41.8064, -71.4346 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bridgham-Arch-Wilson Street Historic District scores 8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Providence

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

Rhode Island legislature & governorship

5.5

Economic stress

27.0% poverty · this tract

6.8

Supply constraint

$1,131 rent vs county FMR

2.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Providence

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Providence

7.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Providence

6.5

How Bridgham-Arch-Wilson Street Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

94%Socioeconomic
99%Household composition
96%Racial/ethnic minority
82%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
30%Grade B
70%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

185Total filings over 2 yrs
5.35%Avg annual filing rate
5.0%Peak (2016)
95Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

413Total filings 2020-21
5.4Avg monthly (observed)
8.2Pre-pandemic baseline
0.66×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Portland, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bridgham-Arch-Wilson Street Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

37.5%Housing insecurity
22.4%Utility-shutoff threat
48.6%Food insecurity
43.5%SNAP enrollment
22.0%Transit barriers
27.7%No health insurance
21.6%Frequent mental distress
42.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bridgham-Arch-Wilson Street Historic District

It sits 2.3 points above the Providence County average of 5.7. 72% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Adults with no health insurance runs 27.7% against 11.3% nationally.

The main counterweight is supply constraint at 2/10. The poverty rate is 27%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 22.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.5/10.

Average gross rent is $1,131, 20% below the Providence average. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 185 evictions over 2 years of observation.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 44007001400

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44007001400?

Census tract 44007001400 in the Bridgham-Arch-Wilson Street Historic District neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 44007001400?

Median gross rent is $1,131/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 44007001400?

27.0% of residents in tract 44007001400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,405.

How socially vulnerable is tract 44007001400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 99th, minority 96th, housing 82th.

Is tract 44007001400 considered part of Bridgham-Arch-Wilson Street Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 44007001400 fall within Bridgham-Arch-Wilson Street Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 44007001400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 185 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 44007001400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.35% of renter households, peaking at 5.0% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Did eviction filings in tract 44007001400 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.66× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Portland, OR), 2020-2021.

What share of households in tract 44007001400 struggle to pay rent?

About 37.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 44007001400 compare to Providence overall?

Tract 44007001400 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Providence at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Providence eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q10

Was tract 44007001400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Providence

Top eight tracts in Providence ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org