Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally
Manton Eviction Risk: High , Providence
Tract 44007002000 · Providence County, RI · pop 7,251 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 8/10, tract 44007002000 in the Manton area of Providence, RI reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 7,251. It sits 2.3 points above the Providence County average of 5.7.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 38%
Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units2,022
Renter share57.4%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate32.8%
Median income$64,079
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
94
th percentile
Very High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Providence and the region
Centroid at 41.8319, -71.4632 · click any tract to drill in
Why Manton scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Providence
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
Rhode Island legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
32.8% poverty · this tract
8.2
Supply constraint
$1,371 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Providence
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Providence
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Providence
6.5
How Manton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 90
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 73%Socioeconomic
- 84%Household composition
- 79%Racial/ethnic minority
- 95%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 30%Grade B
- 68%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 223Total filings over 2 yrs
- 8.17%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.0%Peak (2015)
- 95Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 477Total filings 2020-21
- 6.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 9.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.69×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Portland, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 27.1%Housing insecurity
- 17.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 34.4%Food insecurity
- 31.8%SNAP enrollment
- 17.0%Transit barriers
- 15.6%No health insurance
- 22.8%Frequent mental distress
- 36.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Manton
The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The poverty rate is 33%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. SNAP participation runs 31.8% against 15.2% nationally.
What pushes it up most is economic stress at 8.2/10. 35% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Providence County average of 43.2%. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.5/10.
Running hot, local political climate reads 7.5/10. Court records carry 223 eviction filings across 2 observed years.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 17.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2015, when 9.0% of renter households were served.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Providence. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 8.2% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 44007002000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44007002000?
Census tract 44007002000 in the Manton neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 44007002000?
Median gross rent is $1,371/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 44007002000?
32.8% of residents in tract 44007002000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,251.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 44007002000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 84th, minority 79th, housing 95th.
Q5
Is tract 44007002000 considered part of Manton?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 44007002000 fall within Manton (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 44007002000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 223 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 44007002000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.17% of renter households, peaking at 9.0% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 44007002000 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.69× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Portland, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 44007002000 struggle to pay rent?
About 27.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 44007002000 compare to Providence overall?
Tract 44007002000 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Providence at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Providence eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 44007002000 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Providence
Top eight tracts in Providence ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · RI
Wesleyan Avenue Historic District
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Downtown
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Federal Hill
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Federal Hill
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Downtown
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Bridgham-Arch-Wilson Street Historic District
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Wanskuck
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Wanskuck
8
/ 10 · High
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