Neighborhood · Ranked #5,198 of 84,120 nationally

Wesleyan Avenue Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Providence

Tract 44007000302 · Providence County, RI · pop 5,219 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 44007000302 sits in the Wesleyan Avenue Historic District neighborhood of Providence, Rhode Island. It has a population of 5,219 and an eviction-risk score of 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). 70% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 48% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $979/month against a median household income of $40,273 — roughly 29% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score

6.9

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 42% Stable renters 18% Owners 40%

Tract context

Occupied units1,700

Renter share60.6%

SVI overall0.90

Poverty rate28.7%

Median income$40,273

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Providence and the region

Centroid at 41.8040, -71.4226 · click any tract to drill in

Why Wesleyan Avenue Historic District scores 6.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Providence

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

Rhode Island legislature & governorship

5.5

Economic stress

28.7% poverty · this tract

7.2

Supply constraint

$979 rent vs county FMR

1.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Providence

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Providence

7.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Providence

6.5

How Wesleyan Avenue Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 90

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

92%Socioeconomic
88%Household composition
91%Racial/ethnic minority
62%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B — Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
99%Grade B
1%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org) — 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

447Total filings 2020-21
5.8Avg monthly (observed)
6.6Pre-pandemic baseline
0.88×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 — 2026-05-01

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Portland, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Wesleyan Avenue Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

34.6%Housing insecurity
22.0%Utility-shutoff threat
43.4%Food insecurity
40.7%SNAP enrollment
20.2%Transit barriers
22.5%No health insurance
21.2%Frequent mental distress
39.1%Any disability

Frequently asked

About tract 44007000302

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44007000302?

Census tract 44007000302 in the Wesleyan Avenue Historic District neighborhood scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 44007000302?

Median gross rent is $979/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 44007000302?

28.7% of residents in tract 44007000302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,219.

How socially vulnerable is tract 44007000302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 88th, minority 91th, housing 62th.

Is tract 44007000302 considered part of Wesleyan Avenue Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 44007000302 fall within Wesleyan Avenue Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

Did eviction filings in tract 44007000302 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.88× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Portland, OR), 2020-2021.

What share of households in tract 44007000302 struggle to pay rent?

About 34.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.0% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 44007000302 compare to Providence overall?

Tract 44007000302 scores 6.9/10 — right in line with the parent city of Providence at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Providence eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 44007000302 historically redlined?

Yes — this tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Providence

Top eight tracts in Providence ranked by composite eviction-risk score.