Wesleyan Avenue Historic District Eviction Risk: High , Providence
Tract 44007000302 · Providence County, RI · pop 5,219 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 44007000302 covers part of the Wesleyan Avenue Historic District area of Providence, RI, and scores 8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,219. The severe-burden share is 48%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Providence and the region
Centroid at 41.8040, -71.4226 · click any tract to drill in
Why Wesleyan Avenue Historic District scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Wesleyan Avenue Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 90
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 92%Socioeconomic
- 88%Household composition
- 91%Racial/ethnic minority
- 62%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 99%Grade B
- 1%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 447Total filings 2020-21
- 5.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 6.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.88×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Portland, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Wesleyan Avenue Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 34.6%Housing insecurity
- 22.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 43.4%Food insecurity
- 40.7%SNAP enrollment
- 20.2%Transit barriers
- 22.5%No health insurance
- 21.2%Frequent mental distress
- 39.1%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Wesleyan Avenue Historic District
Cost burden runs around two-thirds here against 43.2% across Providence County. SNAP participation runs 40.7% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 43.4% against 17.8% nationally.
It sits 2.3 points above the Providence County average of 5.7. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1.1/10. At $979 a month, rents run 30% under what the rest of Providence commands.
The poverty rate is 29%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.5/10.
Running hot, local political climate reads 7.5/10. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Providence. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the RI average is 5.3, so this tract runs 2.7 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 44007000302
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44007000302?
What is the average rent in tract 44007000302?
What is the poverty rate in tract 44007000302?
How socially vulnerable is tract 44007000302?
Is tract 44007000302 considered part of Wesleyan Avenue Historic District?
Did eviction filings in tract 44007000302 drop during COVID?
What share of households in tract 44007000302 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 44007000302 compare to Providence overall?
Was tract 44007000302 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Providence
Top eight tracts in Providence ranked by composite eviction-risk score.