Providence Jewelry Manufacturing Historic District Eviction Risk: High

23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $42,837, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 7.5/10. Against Providence County at 43.2%, 36% of renters here are cost-burdened.

On the high side, local political climate reads 7.5/10. SNAP participation runs 26.5% against 15.2% nationally.

The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.8/10.

The filing record is not thin: 70 evictions over 2 years of observation. Adults with no health insurance runs 18.3% against 11.3% nationally.

Average gross rent is $1,253, 11% below the Providence average. Filings peaked in 2016 at 12.5% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Providence. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 10.3% of renter households face a filing.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.