Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally
Downtown Eviction Risk: High , Providence
Tract 44007002600 · Providence County, RI · pop 2,792 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Tract 44007002600 sits in the Downtown area of Providence eviction risk, RI, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8/10. Against the Providence County average of 5.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.3 points.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 50%
Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units1,242
Renter share74.9%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate27.6%
Median income$46,818
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
83
th percentile
High
Within county
90
th percentile
Very High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Providence and the region
Centroid at 41.8368, -71.4221 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Providence
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
Rhode Island legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
27.6% poverty · this tract
6.9
Supply constraint
$1,094 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Providence
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Providence
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Providence
6.5
How Downtown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 84
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 87%Socioeconomic
- 75%Household composition
- 83%Racial/ethnic minority
- 61%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 65%Grade C
- 35%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 151Total filings over 2 yrs
- 7.92%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.3%Peak (2016)
- 76Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 473Total filings 2020-21
- 6.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 6.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.91×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Portland, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 28.1%Housing insecurity
- 17.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 35.0%Food insecurity
- 31.4%SNAP enrollment
- 16.3%Transit barriers
- 17.7%No health insurance
- 20.4%Frequent mental distress
- 35.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downtown
75% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Food insecurity runs 35.0% against 17.8% nationally. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.8/10.
Against Providence County at 43.2%, around a third of renters here are cost-burdened. The poverty rate is 28%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Housing insecurity runs 28.1% against 14.2% nationally.
Severe burden reaches 16%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. At $1,094 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of Providence commands. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.5/10.
Running hot, local political climate reads 7.5/10. Court records carry 151 eviction filings across 2 observed years.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 44007002600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44007002600?
Census tract 44007002600 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 44007002600?
Median gross rent is $1,094/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 44007002600?
27.6% of residents in tract 44007002600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,792.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 44007002600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 75th, minority 83th, housing 61th.
Q5
Is tract 44007002600 considered part of Downtown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 44007002600 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 44007002600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 151 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 44007002600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.92% of renter households, peaking at 8.3% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 44007002600 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.91× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Portland, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 44007002600 struggle to pay rent?
About 28.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 44007002600 compare to Providence overall?
Tract 44007002600 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Providence at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Providence eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 44007002600 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 35% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Providence
Top eight tracts in Providence ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · RI
Merino
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Elmwood
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Merino
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Wesleyan Avenue Historic District
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Dyerville
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Manton
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Stimson Avenue Historic District
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Wesleyan Avenue Historic District
8
/ 10 · High
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