Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally
Bridgham-Arch-Wilson Street Historic District Eviction Risk: High , Providence
Tract 44007001200 · Providence County, RI · pop 4,370 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
44007001200 is a census tract in the Bridgham-Arch-Wilson Street Historic District area of Providence, RI. It scores 8/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,370 residents. It sits 2.3 points above the Providence County average of 5.7.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32%
Stable renters 51%
Owners 17%
Tract context
Occupied units1,435
Renter share82.9%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate28.1%
Median income$55,401
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
81
th percentile
High
Within county
84
th percentile
High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Providence and the region
Centroid at 41.8136, -71.4259 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bridgham-Arch-Wilson Street Historic District scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Providence
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
Rhode Island legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
28.1% poverty · this tract
7.0
Supply constraint
$1,116 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Providence
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Providence
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Providence
6.5
How Bridgham-Arch-Wilson Street Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 99
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 96%Household composition
- 86%Racial/ethnic minority
- 94%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 100%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 126Total filings over 2 yrs
- 6.33%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.6%Peak (2015)
- 61Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 341Total filings 2020-21
- 4.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.98×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Portland, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bridgham-Arch-Wilson Street Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 30.7%Housing insecurity
- 19.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 39.2%Food insecurity
- 37.2%SNAP enrollment
- 18.2%Transit barriers
- 20.2%No health insurance
- 21.0%Frequent mental distress
- 38.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bridgham-Arch-Wilson Street Historic District
83% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1.9/10.
The poverty rate is 28%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Average gross rent is $1,116, 21% below the Providence average. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.5/10.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 19.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.5/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 20.2% against 11.3% nationally.
Court records carry 126 eviction filings across 2 observed years. Against Providence County at 43.2%, 39% of renters here are cost-burdened. The worst year on record was 2015, when 6.6% of renter households were served.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 44007001200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44007001200?
Census tract 44007001200 in the Bridgham-Arch-Wilson Street Historic District neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 44007001200?
Median gross rent is $1,116/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 44007001200?
28.1% of residents in tract 44007001200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,370.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 44007001200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 96th, minority 86th, housing 94th.
Q5
Is tract 44007001200 considered part of Bridgham-Arch-Wilson Street Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 44007001200 fall within Bridgham-Arch-Wilson Street Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 44007001200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 126 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 44007001200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.33% of renter households, peaking at 6.6% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 44007001200 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.98× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Portland, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 44007001200 struggle to pay rent?
About 30.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 44007001200 compare to Providence overall?
Tract 44007001200 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Providence at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Providence eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 44007001200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Providence
Top eight tracts in Providence ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · RI
Downtown
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Federal Hill
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Federal Hill
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Downtown
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Wanskuck
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Bridgham-Arch-Wilson Street Historic District
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Wanskuck
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Wanskuck
8
/ 10 · High
Related
Explore the geography around tract 44007001200
Parent city ↑
Providence
6.6 / 10
Parent county ↑
Providence County
Parent state ↑
Rhode Island
Sibling tract →
Bridgham-Arch-Wilson Street Historic District
8 / 10
Sibling tract →
Bridgham-Arch-Wilson Street Historic District
7.3 / 10
Methodology
How the score is built
Interactive map
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