Neighborhood · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally

Darlington Eviction Risk: Moderate , Pawtucket

Tract 44007015800 · Providence County, RI · pop 3,861 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

With a score of 4.7/10, tract 44007015800 in the Darlington area of Pawtucket, RI reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,861 residents. 29% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

4.7

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 17% Owners 73%

Tract context

Occupied units1,455

Renter share26.7%

SVI overall0.45

Poverty rate5.5%

Median income$99,583

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Pawtucket and the region

Centroid at 41.8833, -71.3470 · click any tract to drill in

Why Darlington scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Pawtucket

6.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

Rhode Island legislature & governorship

5.5

Economic stress

5.5% poverty · this tract

1.4

Supply constraint

$1,151 rent vs county FMR

2.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Pawtucket

4.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Pawtucket

5.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Pawtucket

6.0

How Darlington compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 45

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

38%Socioeconomic
57%Household composition
48%Racial/ethnic minority
46%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
58%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

48Total filings over 2 yrs
6.18%Avg annual filing rate
6.6%Peak (2015)
23Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

84Total filings 2020-21
1.1Avg monthly (observed)
1.7Pre-pandemic baseline
0.64×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Portland, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Darlington. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

14.5%Housing insecurity
8.4%Utility-shutoff threat
15.7%Food insecurity
13.1%SNAP enrollment
8.0%Transit barriers
8.4%No health insurance
18.2%Frequent mental distress
28.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Darlington

The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.4/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.1/10. 36% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Providence County average of 43.2%.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.5/10. It sits 1.0 points below the Providence County average of 5.7. Court records carry 48 eviction filings across 2 observed years.

Filings peaked in 2015 at 6.6% of renter households. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Pawtucket & Central Falls. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 6.2% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 55th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $99,583, annual rent is just 14%.

Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent is $1,151, close to the Pawtucket average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 44007015800

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44007015800?

Census tract 44007015800 in the Darlington neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 44007015800?

Median gross rent is $1,151/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 44007015800?

5.5% of residents in tract 44007015800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,861.

How socially vulnerable is tract 44007015800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 57th, minority 48th, housing 46th.

Is tract 44007015800 considered part of Darlington?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 44007015800 fall within Darlington (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 44007015800?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 48 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 44007015800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.18% of renter households, peaking at 6.6% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Did eviction filings in tract 44007015800 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.64× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Portland, OR), 2020-2021.

What share of households in tract 44007015800 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 44007015800 compare to Pawtucket overall?

Tract 44007015800 scores 4.7/10, lower than the parent city of Pawtucket at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Pawtucket eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q10

Was tract 44007015800 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Pawtucket

Top eight tracts in Pawtucket ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org