Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally
Forestdale Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 01073012401 · Jefferson County, AL · pop 3,595 · 86% of tract blocks fall in Forestdale
01073012401 is a census tract in Forestdale, AL. It scores 4.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,595. Severe burden reaches 39%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units1,361
Renter share35.0%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate19.1%
Median income$71,213
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
52
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
66
th percentile
Elevated
National
49
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Forestdale and the region
Centroid at 33.5646, -86.8852 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forestdale scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Forestdale
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Alabama legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
19.1% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,064 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Forestdale
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Forestdale
6.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Forestdale
7.6
How Forestdale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 60
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 78%Socioeconomic
- 62%Household composition
- 96%Racial/ethnic minority
- 13%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 5%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 418Total filings over 11 yrs
- 10.44%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.7%Peak (2013)
- 53Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 165% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.3%Housing insecurity
- 13.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 23.4%Food insecurity
- 17.3%SNAP enrollment
- 11.5%Transit barriers
- 8.1%No health insurance
- 15.6%Frequent mental distress
- 35.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forestdale
The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1.5/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.8/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 7.6/10.
52% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Jefferson County average of 46.3%. The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
The filing record is not thin: 418 evictions over 11 years of observation. Average gross rent is $1,064, 12% below the Forestdale average. Filings peaked in 2013 at 14.7% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 10.4% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 49th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.4/10.
Rent consumes only 18% of average household income of $71,213, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 01073012401
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 01073012401?
Census tract 01073012401 in Forestdale scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 01073012401?
Median gross rent is $1,064/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 01073012401?
19.1% of residents in tract 01073012401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,595.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 01073012401?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 62th, minority 96th, housing 13th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 01073012401?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 418 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 01073012401 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.44% of renter households, peaking at 14.7% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 01073012401 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 01073012401 compare to Forestdale overall?
Tract 01073012401 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Forestdale at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Forestdale; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 01073012401 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 5% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Forestdale
Top eight tracts in Forestdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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