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Neighborhood · Ranked #29,578 of 84,120 nationally

Winthrop Square Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mobile

Tract 01097003607 · Mobile County, AL · pop 3,007 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Here is how census tract 01097003607, in Winthrop Square in Mobile eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 4.9/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 3,007. On the national scale it ranks #53,296 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

60% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $973 monthly, set against $40,404 in average yearly household income, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 64% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 26% Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units1,573
Renter share64.1%
SVI overall0.32
Poverty rate15.5%
Median income$40,404

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Winthrop Square
Moderate
Within parent city
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#40 of 78 tracts In Mobile
Moderate
Within county
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#54 of 135 tracts In Mobile County
Elevated
Within state
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#528 of 1,436 tracts In Alabama
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mobile and the region

Centroid at 30.6863, -88.1982 · click any tract to drill in

Why Winthrop Square scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mobile
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
Alabama legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
15.5% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$973 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mobile
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mobile
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mobile
3.0

How Winthrop Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Winthrop Square risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.74.7This tracttract 003607Mobile: 2.82.8Mobileparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.14.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 32

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 722Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 7.13%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.0%Peak (2013)
  • 109Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 010970036072001: 49 filings (4.62/100 renter HHs)2002: 38 filings (3.58/100 renter HHs)2006: 37 filings (4.03/100 renter HHs)2007: 56 filings (6.11/100 renter HHs)2008: 55 filings (6.00/100 renter HHs)2009: 57 filings (6.22/100 renter HHs)2013: 126 filings (11.99/100 renter HHs)2014: 95 filings (9.04/100 renter HHs)2015: 100 filings (9.51/100 renter HHs)2016: 109 filings (10.23/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 122% over the past 10 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Winthrop Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Winthrop Square

What moves this score most is economic stress at 3.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Mobile eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Mobile County average of 4.9 and above the Alabama statewide average of 4.5. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 15.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 32nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 01097003607

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 01097003607?

Census tract 01097003607 in the Winthrop Square neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 01097003607?

Median gross rent is $973/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 01097003607?

15.5% of residents in tract 01097003607 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,007.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 01097003607?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 2th, minority 69th, housing 33th.
Q5

Is tract 01097003607 considered part of Winthrop Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 01097003607 fall within Winthrop Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 01097003607?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 722 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 01097003607 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.13% of renter households, peaking at 12.0% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 01097003607 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 01097003607 compare to Mobile overall?

Tract 01097003607 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Mobile at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mobile eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mobile

Top eight tracts in Mobile ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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