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Neighborhood · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally

Winthrop Square Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mobile

Tract 01097003703 · Mobile County, AL · pop 4,223 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

How risky is the Winthrop Square neighborhood of Mobile for landlords? Census tract 01097003703 scores $1/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 40% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 72% of renter households, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,118 monthly, set against $43,405 in average yearly household income, roughly 31% of income at the averages. About 81% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 58% Stable renters 23% Owners 19%
Tract context
Occupied units2,108
Renter share81.2%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate18.6%
Median income$43,405

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Winthrop Square
Very High
Within parent city
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#32 of 78 tracts In Mobile
Elevated
Within county
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#44 of 135 tracts In Mobile County
Elevated
Within state
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#470 of 1,436 tracts In Alabama
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mobile and the region

Centroid at 30.6720, -88.2028 · click any tract to drill in

Why Winthrop Square scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mobile
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
Alabama legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
18.6% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$1,118 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mobile
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mobile
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mobile
3.0

How Winthrop Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Winthrop Square risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.94.9This tracttract 003703Mobile: 2.82.8Mobileparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.14.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 597Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 5.93%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.2%Peak (2013)
  • 83Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 010970037032001: 24 filings (4.17/100 renter HHs)2002: 36 filings (6.25/100 renter HHs)2006: 18 filings (1.96/100 renter HHs)2007: 61 filings (6.64/100 renter HHs)2008: 31 filings (3.37/100 renter HHs)2009: 51 filings (5.55/100 renter HHs)2013: 111 filings (9.19/100 renter HHs)2014: 96 filings (7.95/100 renter HHs)2015: 86 filings (7.12/100 renter HHs)2016: 83 filings (7.08/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 246% over the past 10 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Winthrop Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Winthrop Square

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 5.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Mobile eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Mobile County average of 4.9 and above the Alabama statewide average of 4.5. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 15.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 597 eviction filings here over 10 tracked years, with about 5.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 9.2% of renter households in 2013.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 01097003703

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 01097003703?

Census tract 01097003703 in the Winthrop Square neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 01097003703?

Median gross rent is $1,118/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 01097003703?

18.6% of residents in tract 01097003703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,223.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 01097003703?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 50th, minority 68th, housing 76th.
Q5

Is tract 01097003703 considered part of Winthrop Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 01097003703 fall within Winthrop Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 01097003703?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 597 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 01097003703 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.93% of renter households, peaking at 9.2% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 01097003703 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 01097003703 compare to Mobile overall?

Tract 01097003703 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Mobile at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mobile eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mobile

Top eight tracts in Mobile ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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