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Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally

Winthrop Square Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mobile

Tract 01097003703 · Mobile County, AL · pop 4,223 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

With a score of 4.5/10, tract 01097003703 in the Winthrop Square area of Mobile, AL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,223. Cost burden runs 72% here against 43.6% across Mobile County.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 58% Stable renters 23% Owners 19%
Tract context
Occupied units2,108
Renter share81.2%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate18.6%
Median income$43,405

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Winthrop Square
Very High
Within parent city
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#33 of 78 tracts In Mobile
Elevated
Within county
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#47 of 135 tracts In Mobile County
Elevated
Within state
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#449 of 1,436 tracts In Alabama
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mobile and the region

Centroid at 30.6720, -88.2028 · click any tract to drill in

Why Winthrop Square scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mobile
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
Alabama legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
18.6% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$1,118 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mobile
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mobile
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mobile
3.0

How Winthrop Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Winthrop Square risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.5This tracttract 0037033.6Mobileparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county4.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 597Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 5.93%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.2%Peak (2013)
  • 83Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 01097003703
Filings climbed 246% over the past 10 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Winthrop Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Winthrop Square

27% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

81% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.8/10.

The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 597 filings here across 10 tracked years. Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 3/10.

The worst year on record was 2013, when 9.2% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 5.9% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #41,206 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.9/10.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 01097003703

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 01097003703?

Census tract 01097003703 in the Winthrop Square neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 01097003703?

Median gross rent is $1,118/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 01097003703?

18.6% of residents in tract 01097003703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,223.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 01097003703?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 50th, minority 68th, housing 76th.
Q5

Is tract 01097003703 considered part of Winthrop Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 01097003703 fall within Winthrop Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 01097003703?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 597 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 01097003703 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.93% of renter households, peaking at 9.2% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 01097003703 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 01097003703 compare to Mobile overall?

Tract 01097003703 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Mobile at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mobile eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mobile

Top eight tracts in Mobile ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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