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Neighborhood · Mobile, AL

Winthrop Square Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 12,077 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.3/10 · range 3.6–4.9

Winthrop Square is a white-black neighborhood in Mobile with 3 census tracts and a population of 12,077 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.3/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 54% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 18% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,119/month sits 5% higher than the Mobile citywide average ($1,068).

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Winthrop Square vs Mobile How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
53.6% +62%
Mobile: 33.0%
Average gross rent
$1,119 +5%
Mobile: $1,068
Average HH income
$48,708 -5%
Mobile: $51,090
Poverty rate
12.6% -33%
Mobile: 18.9%
Renter share
61.0% +32%
Mobile: 46.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Winthrop Square and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3.6–4.9

Why Winthrop Square scores 4.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.8–1.8 across tracts
1.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts
4.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Rent control risk
54% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
61% renter households · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Economic stress
12.6% below poverty line · Range 1.4–4.6 across tracts
3.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.9–6.1 across tracts
5.2
Risk score comparison

Winthrop Square vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Winthrop Square score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Winthrop Square: 4.34.3Winthrop SquareNeighborhoodParent city: 2.82.8Parent cityhost cityState: 2.42.4Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Winthrop Square?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.3 points from 3.6 to 4.9. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Winthrop Square

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
01097003703 4.9 4,223 72% $1,118
01097003607 4.7 3,007 60% $973
01097006411 3.6 4,847 34% $1,211
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 60

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 71%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 40%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 64%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 54%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Winthrop Square

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,319Total filings (sum)
  • 6.43%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.0%Peak year (2013)
  • 8.39%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Winthrop Square

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Winthrop Square

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Winthrop Square?

Winthrop Square scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Winthrop Square compare to Mobile overall?

Winthrop Square scores 1.5 points higher than Mobile overall (2.8/10). Renters spend 54% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,119 vs $1,068.
Q3

What is the average rent in Winthrop Square?

Average gross rent in Winthrop Square is $1,119/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Winthrop Square residents are renters?

61% of Winthrop Square households are renter-occupied (vs 46% in Mobile). The neighborhood has 12,077 residents.
Q5

Is Winthrop Square a high social-vulnerability area?

Winthrop Square sits in the 60th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Winthrop Square have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Winthrop Square is census tract 01097003703 (score 4.9/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.6 to 4.9, a spread of 1.3 points.
Q7

How safe is Winthrop Square for landlords?

Winthrop Square carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.3/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Mobile as a whole (2.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Winthrop Square?

Winthrop Square has 12,277 residents (White-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (47.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (38.8%), Hispanic / Latino (7.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Winthrop Square

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Mobile

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Winthrop Square.

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