Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Sunnyside Eviction Risk: Moderate , Flagstaff

Tract 04005000302 · Coconino, AZ · pop 2,963 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

04005000302 is a census tract in the Sunnyside area of Flagstaff, AZ. It scores 5.1/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,963 residents. 71% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Coconino County average of 40.0%.

Risk score

5.1

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 52% Stable renters 21% Owners 27%

Tract context

Occupied units1,223

Renter share73.6%

SVI overall0.76

Poverty rate19.0%

Median income$54,911

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Flagstaff and the region

Centroid at 35.2037, -111.6214 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sunnyside scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Flagstaff

8.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.2

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

19.0% poverty · this tract

4.7

Supply constraint

$1,468 rent vs county FMR

2.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Flagstaff

3.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Flagstaff

6.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Flagstaff

5.5

How Sunnyside compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 76

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

85%Socioeconomic
19%Household composition
83%Racial/ethnic minority
77%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

16.5%Housing insecurity
11.1%Utility-shutoff threat
20.5%Food insecurity
15.3%SNAP enrollment
12.1%Transit barriers
13.7%No health insurance
18.9%Frequent mental distress
29.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Sunnyside

Severe burden reaches 25%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. This is renter territory: 74% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Annualized rent equals 32% of average household income of $54,911, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The dominant input is local political climate at 8/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.2/10.

It sits 1.1 points above the Coconino County average of 4.0. The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.6/10. Average gross rent is $1,468, 11% below the Flagstaff average. That is riskier than roughly 63% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.8/10. Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04005000302

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04005000302?

Census tract 04005000302 in the Sunnyside neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04005000302?

Median gross rent is $1,468/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04005000302?

19.0% of residents in tract 04005000302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,963.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04005000302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 19th, minority 83th, housing 77th.

Is tract 04005000302 considered part of Sunnyside?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04005000302 fall within Sunnyside (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 04005000302 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04005000302 compare to Flagstaff overall?

Tract 04005000302 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Flagstaff at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Flagstaff eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Flagstaff

Top eight tracts in Flagstaff ranked by composite eviction-risk score.