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Neighborhood · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally

Pine Canyon Eviction Risk: Moderate , Flagstaff

Tract 04005000902 · Coconino, AZ · pop 3,291 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Census tract 04005000902 covers part of the Pine Canyon area of Flagstaff, AZ, and scores 5.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,291 residents. Against Coconino County at 40.0%, 65% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 54% Stable renters 29% Owners 17%
Tract context
Occupied units1,631
Renter share82.6%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate27.8%
Median income$56,350

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Pine Canyon
Moderate
Within parent city
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 18 tracts In Flagstaff
Very High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 39 tracts In Coconino
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Flagstaff and the region

Centroid at 35.1595, -111.6195 · click any tract to drill in

Why Pine Canyon scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Flagstaff
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
27.8% poverty · this tract
6.9
Supply constraint
$1,456 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Flagstaff
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Flagstaff
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Flagstaff
5.5

How Pine Canyon compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Pine Canyon risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.95.9This tracttract 000902Flagstaff: 4.54.5Flagstaffparent cityCounty: 4.04.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 78

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Pine Canyon

Severe burden reaches 36%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. This is renter territory: 83% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. It sits 1.9 points above the Coconino County average of 4.0.

The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8/10. The poverty rate is 28%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Running cool, state political climate reads 2.2/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.5/10.

At $1,456 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Flagstaff commands. On the national scale it lands near the 77th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 2.1 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04005000902

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04005000902?

Census tract 04005000902 in the Pine Canyon neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04005000902?

Median gross rent is $1,456/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04005000902?

27.8% of residents in tract 04005000902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,291.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04005000902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 31th, minority 64th, housing 87th.
Q5

Is tract 04005000902 considered part of Pine Canyon?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04005000902 fall within Pine Canyon (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 04005000902 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04005000902 compare to Flagstaff overall?

Tract 04005000902 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Flagstaff at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Flagstaff eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Flagstaff

Top eight tracts in Flagstaff ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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