1 census tracts · pop 3,291 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.9/10
· range 5.9–5.9
Pine Canyon is a one-tract neighborhood of Flagstaff, AZ and houses 3,291 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.9/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a Flagstaff baseline of 34.6%, 65% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
The severe-burden share is 36%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. 83% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.
The poverty rate is 28%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The main counterweight is supply constraint, at 2.5/10.
On the softer side is rent-regulation exposure, at 3/10. At $1,456 a month, rents sit 11% under what the rest of Flagstaff commands.
That places it #1 of 17 neighborhoods in Flagstaff. For a like-for-like read, Rio Homes and Pine Knoll score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $56,350.
One tract means one number: 5.9/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Pine Canyon vs FlagstaffHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority64%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport87%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Pine Canyon
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
15.7%Housing insecurity
11.9%Utility shutoff threat
21.3%Food insecurity
18.0%SNAP enrollment
11.4%No health insurance
31.5%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Pine Canyon
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Pine Canyon?
Pine Canyon scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Pine Canyon compare to Flagstaff overall?
Pine Canyon scores 1.4 points higher than Flagstaff overall (4.5/10). Renters spend 65% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $1,456 vs $1,645.
Q3
What is the average rent in Pine Canyon?
Average gross rent in Pine Canyon is $1,456/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Pine Canyon residents are renters?
83% of Pine Canyon households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Flagstaff). The neighborhood has 3,291 residents.
Q5
Is Pine Canyon a high social-vulnerability area?
Pine Canyon sits in the 78th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Pine Canyon for landlords?
Pine Canyon carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.9/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Flagstaff as a whole (4.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Pine Canyon?
Pine Canyon has 3,456 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (47%), Other / Multiracial (22.6%), Hispanic / Latino (16.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Sibling neighborhoods
Other neighborhoods inside Flagstaff
Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Pine Canyon.
